
Rocket Lab's third quarter results drew a significant positive market response, with management attributing the outperformance to strong momentum across both its launch services and space systems segments. CEO Peter Beck emphasized record Electron launch bookings, including a surge in international contracts, and highlighted the space systems group’s successful delivery of key missions and manufacturing contracts. CFO Adam Spice pointed out that sequential revenue growth was primarily led by satellite manufacturing, which provided diversification amid variable launch activity.
Is now the time to buy RKLB? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $155.1 million vs analyst estimates of $151.9 million (48% year-on-year growth, 2.1% beat)
- Adjusted EPS: -$0.02 vs analyst estimates of -$0.06 (66.7% beat)
- Adjusted EBITDA: -$26.28 million vs analyst estimates of -$23.63 million (-16.9% margin, 11.2% miss)
- Revenue Guidance for Q4 CY2025 is $175 million at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $172.1 million
- EBITDA guidance for Q4 CY2025 is -$26 million at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of -$12.38 million
- Operating Margin: -38%, up from -49.5% in the same quarter last year
- Market Capitalization: $24.33 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Rocket Lab’s Q3 Earnings Call
- Ryan Koontz (Needham & Co.) asked about drivers behind the international backlog surge. CEO Peter Beck explained that both commercial and government agencies are increasingly standardizing on Electron for small satellite launches.
- Andres Sheppard (Cantor Fitzgerald) inquired about revenue recognition for government contracts and the impact of the U.S. government shutdown. CFO Adam Spice confirmed existing programs are progressing on track, with only minor delays in new contract awards.
- Edison Yu (Deutsche Bank) questioned the company’s approach to spectrum for future satellite constellations. CEO Peter Beck clarified that Rocket Lab would not speculate on spectrum assets, focusing instead on leveraging its existing integration strengths.
- Gautam Khanna (TD Cowen) probed the timeline for Neutron’s first launch and margin impacts from one-time contract events. Beck and Spice explained that timing will depend on the outcome of comprehensive testing, and that margin improvements from non-recurring events will not persist into future quarters.
- Kristine T. Liwag (Morgan Stanley) asked about M&A priorities and long-term strategy. Beck emphasized the aim to acquire payload capabilities and expand European presence, while remaining disciplined about only pursuing deals that materially advance the company’s scale or technology base.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In future quarters, our analysts will closely monitor (1) progress toward Neutron’s first test launch and associated customer contract wins, (2) sustained international demand for Electron launches and the ability to increase production cadence, and (3) execution and integration of recent and pending acquisitions, particularly in expanding payload and sensor capabilities. Progress on these fronts will be critical for Rocket Lab’s transition toward operating leverage and broader market leadership.
Rocket Lab currently trades at $46.05, down from $52.03 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).
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