FORM 10-Q
 
 
FORM 10-Q
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549
(Mark One)
     
þ   QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the quarterly period ended September 30, 2008
OR
     
o   TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the transition period from                      to                     .
Commission file number 0-15341
Donegal Group Inc.
 
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
     
Delaware   23-2424711
     
(State or other jurisdiction of
incorporation or organization)
  (I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.)
1195 River Road, P.O. Box 302, Marietta, PA 17547-0302
 
(Address of principal executive offices) (Zip code)
(717) 426-1931
 
(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)
Not applicable
 
(Former name, former address and former fiscal year, if changed since last report)
     Indicate by check mark whether registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes þ No o
     Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer or a smaller reporting company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer” and “smaller reporting company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act. (Check one):
Large accelerated filer oAccelerated filer þ Non-accelerated filer o
(Do not check if a smaller reporting company)
Smaller reporting company o
     Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act). Yes o No þ
     Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the issuer’s classes of common stock, as of the latest practicable date: 19,931,165 shares of Class A Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share, and 5,576,775 shares of Class B Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share, outstanding on October 31, 2008.
 
 

 


 

Part I. Financial Information
Item 1. Financial Statements.
Donegal Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Balance Sheets
                 
    September 30, 2008     December 31, 2007  
    (Unaudited)          
 
               
Assets
               
 
               
Investments
               
Fixed maturities
               
Held to maturity, at amortized cost
  $ 104,156,450     $ 154,290,119  
Available for sale, at fair value
    414,295,734       336,317,901  
Equity securities, available for sale, at fair value
    14,757,866       36,360,526  
Investments in affiliates
    8,120,101       8,648,818  
Short-term investments, at cost, which approximates fair value
    82,813,995       70,252,223  
 
           
Total investments
    624,144,146       605,869,587  
Cash
    6,466,577       4,289,365  
Accrued investment income
    5,898,583       5,874,908  
Premiums receivable
    59,259,420       51,038,253  
Reinsurance receivable
    86,509,297       78,897,154  
Deferred policy acquisition costs
    30,871,669       26,235,072  
Deferred tax asset, net
    16,235,985       7,026,441  
Prepaid reinsurance premiums
    54,902,541       47,286,336  
Property and equipment, net
    5,773,667       5,608,129  
Accounts receivable — securities
    2,897,164       602,191  
Other
    1,111,712       1,368,320  
 
           
Total assets
  $ 894,070,761     $ 834,095,756  
 
           
 
               
Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity
               
 
               
Liabilities
               
Losses and loss expenses
  $ 242,148,416     $ 226,432,402  
Unearned premiums
    239,879,899       203,430,560  
Accrued expenses
    11,247,454       12,313,428  
Reinsurance balances payable
    1,993,082       2,105,501  
Federal income taxes payable
    986,979       375,736  
Cash dividends declared to stockholders
          2,210,298  
Subordinated debentures
    15,465,000       30,929,000  
Accounts payable — securities
    24,070,695       1,820,016  
Due to affiliate
    458,788       241,918  
Drafts payable
    1,035,400       717,540  
Other
    1,127,832       829,166  
 
           
Total liabilities
    538,413,545       481,405,565  
 
           
 
               
Stockholders’ Equity
               
Preferred stock, $1.00 par value, authorized 2,000,000 shares; none issued
           
Class A common stock, $.01 par value, authorized 30,000,000 shares, issued 20,470,242 and 20,167,999 shares and outstanding 19,914,643 and 19,756,643 shares
    204,702       201,680  
Class B common stock, $.01 par value, authorized 10,000,000 shares, issued 5,649,240 shares and outstanding 5,576,775 shares
    56,492       56,492  
Additional paid-in capital
    162,632,023       156,850,666  
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)
    (7,278,331 )     6,974,411  
Retained earnings
    207,691,691       193,806,855  
Treasury stock
    (7,649,361 )     (5,199,913 )
 
           
Total stockholders’ equity
    355,657,216       352,690,191  
 
           
Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity
  $ 894,070,761     $ 834,095,756  
 
           
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.

1


 

Donegal Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Statements of Income

(Unaudited)
                 
    Three Months Ended September 30,  
    2008     2007  
Revenues:
               
Net premiums earned
  $ 88,170,757     $ 77,609,940  
Investment income, net of investment expenses
    5,801,750       5,812,669  
Net realized investment gains (losses)
    (2,811,264 )     488,226  
Lease income
    230,903       267,741  
Installment payment fees
    1,316,429       1,262,255  
 
           
Total revenues
    92,708,575       85,440,831  
 
           
 
               
Expenses:
               
Net losses and loss expenses
    53,234,686       41,011,053  
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs
    14,818,000       12,940,000  
Other underwriting expenses
    14,240,659       14,218,116  
Policy dividends
    437,470       360,885  
Interest
    398,855       733,558  
Other expenses
    314,642       484,168  
 
           
Total expenses
    83,444,312       69,747,780  
 
           
 
               
Income before income tax expense
    9,264,263       15,693,051  
Income tax expense
    2,041,183       4,480,623  
 
           
 
               
Net income
  $ 7,223,080     $ 11,212,428  
 
           
 
               
Earnings per common share:
               
Class A common stock — basic
  $ 0.29     $ 0.45  
 
           
Class A common stock — diluted
  $ 0.29     $ 0.45  
 
           
Class B common stock — basic and diluted
  $ 0.26     $ 0.41  
 
           
Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income
(Unaudited)
                 
    Three Months Ended September 30,  
    2008     2007  
 
Net income
  $ 7,223,080     $ 11,212,428  
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax Unrealized income (loss) on securities:
               
Unrealized holding income (loss) during the period, net of income tax (benefit)
    (9,172,698 )     3,553,723  
Reclassification adjustment, net of income tax
    1,827,322       (317,346 )
 
           
Other comprehensive income (loss)
    (7,345,376 )     3,236,377  
 
           
Comprehensive income (loss)
  $ (122,296 )   $ 14,448,805  
 
           
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.

2


 

Donegal Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Statements of Income

(Unaudited)
                 
    Nine Months Ended September 30,  
    2008     2007  
Revenues:
               
Net premiums earned
  $ 257,507,718     $ 231,882,586  
Investment income, net of investment expenses
    17,287,476       16,878,913  
Net realized investment gains (losses)
    (2,789,535 )     653,656  
Lease income
    705,198       791,159  
Installment payment fees
    3,760,768       3,521,709  
 
           
Total revenues
    276,471,625       253,728,023  
 
           
 
               
Expenses:
               
Net losses and loss expenses
    162,244,444       132,155,199  
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs
    43,109,000       37,890,000  
Other underwriting expenses
    40,711,661       41,329,592  
Policy dividends
    924,537       868,004  
Interest
    1,545,571       2,160,580  
Other expenses
    1,211,480       1,496,889  
 
           
Total expenses
    249,746,693       215,900,264  
 
           
 
               
Income before income tax expense
    26,724,932       37,827,759  
Income tax expense
    5,883,951       10,344,437  
 
           
 
               
Net income
  $ 20,840,981     $ 27,483,322  
 
           
 
               
Earnings per common share:
               
Class A common stock — basic
  $ 0.84     $ 1.11  
 
           
Class A common stock — diluted
  $ 0.83     $ 1.10  
 
           
Class B common stock — basic and diluted
  $ 0.76     $ 1.00  
 
           
Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income
(Unaudited)
                 
    Nine Months Ended September 30,  
    2008     2007  
 
               
Net income
  $ 20,840,981     $ 27,483,322  
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax Unrealized income (loss) on securities:
               
Unrealized holding income (loss) during the period, net of income tax (benefit)
    (16,065,940 )     1,217,759  
Reclassification adjustment, net of income tax
    1,813,198       (424,876 )
 
           
Other comprehensive income (loss)
    (14,252,742 )     792,883  
 
           
Comprehensive income
  $ 6,588,239     $ 28,276,205  
 
           
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.

3


 

Donegal Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Statement of Stockholders’ Equity

(Unaudited)
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008
                                                                         
                                          Accumulated                        
                                    Additional     Other                     Total  
                                    Paid-In     Comprehensive     Retained     Treasury     Stockholders’  
    Class A Shares     Class B Shares     Class A Amount     Class B Amount     Capital     Income (Loss)     Earnings     Stock     Equity  
Balance, December 31, 2007
    20,167,999       5,649,240     $ 201,680     $ 56,492     $ 156,850,666     $ 6,974,411     $ 193,806,855     $ (5,199,913 )   $ 352,690,191  
Issuance of common stock (stock compensation plans)
    302,243               3,022               3,349,078                               3,352,100  
Net income
                                                    20,840,981               20,840,981  
Cash dividends
                                                    (5,207,082 )             (5,207,082 )
Grant of stock options
                                    1,749,063               (1,749,063 )              
Tax benefit on exercise of stock options
                                    683,216                               683,216  
Purchase of treasury stock
                                                            (2,449,448 )     (2,449,448 )
Other comprehensive loss
                                            (14,252,742 )                     (14,252,742 )
 
                                                     
Balance, September 30, 2008
    20,470,242       5,649,240     $ 204,702     $ 56,492     $ 162,632,023     $ (7,278,331 )   $ 207,691,691     $ (7,649,361 )   $ 355,657,216  
 
                                                     
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.

4


 

Donegal Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
(Unaudited)
                 
    Nine Months Ended September 30,  
    2008     2007  
Cash Flows from Operating Activities:
               
Net income
  $ 20,840,981     $ 27,483,322  
 
           
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities:
               
Depreciation and amortization
    1,786,722       1,884,993  
Net realized investment losses (gains)
    2,789,535       (653,656 )
Changes in assets and liabilities:
               
Losses and loss expenses
    15,716,014       (17,022,130 )
Unearned premiums
    36,449,339       16,426,291  
Premiums receivable
    (8,221,167 )     (3,622,905 )
Deferred acquisition costs
    (4,636,597 )     (2,170,316 )
Deferred income taxes
    (1,534,983 )     420,310  
Reinsurance receivable
    (7,612,143 )     7,124,852  
Prepaid reinsurance premiums
    (7,616,205 )     (5,399,617 )
Accrued investment income
    (23,675 )     123,853  
Due to affiliate
    216,870       (1,081,628 )
Reinsurance balances payable
    (112,419 )     558,046  
Current income taxes
    611,243       1,711,262  
Accrued expenses
    (1,065,974 )     (1,037,049 )
Other, net
    873,144       322,942  
 
           
Net adjustments
    27,619,704       (2,414,752 )
 
           
Net cash provided by operating activities
    48,460,685       25,068,570  
 
           
 
               
Cash Flows from Investing Activities:
               
Purchases of fixed maturities:
               
Available for sale
    (149,742,022 )     (38,785,682 )
Purchases of equity securities, available for sale
    (12,890,734 )     (16,762,862 )
Maturity of fixed maturities:
               
Held to maturity
    49,698,926       8,204,300  
Available for sale
    43,899,947       21,994,045  
Sales of fixed maturities:
               
Available for sale
    25,215,920        
Sales of equity securities, available for sale
    31,922,932       10,086,892  
Net decrease in investment in affiliates
    401,828       160,057  
Net purchase of property and equipment
    (932,986 )     (1,100,093 )
Net sale (purchase) of short-term investments
    (12,561,772 )     2,434,026  
 
           
Net cash used in investing activities
    (24,987,961 )     (13,769,317 )
 
           
 
               
Cash Flows from Financing Activities:
               
Cash dividends paid
    (7,417,380 )     (6,422,588 )
Redemption of subordinated debentures
    (15,464,000 )      
Issuance of common stock
    3,352,100       1,767,017  
Purchase of treasury stock
    (2,449,448 )     (2,560,481 )
Tax benefit on exercise of stock options
    683,216       198,965  
 
           
Net cash used in financing activities
    (21,295,512 )     (7,017,087 )
 
           
 
               
Net increase in cash
    2,177,212       4,282,166  
Cash at beginning of period
    4,289,365       531,756  
 
           
Cash at end of period
  $ 6,466,577     $ 4,813,922  
 
           
 
               
Cash paid during period — Interest
  $ 1,772,648     $ 2,164,472  
Net cash paid during period — Taxes
  $ 6,125,000     $ 8,000,000  
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.

5


 

DONEGAL GROUP INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
(Unaudited)
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements
1 — Organization
     Donegal Mutual Insurance Company (“Donegal Mutual”) organized us as an insurance holding company on August 26, 1986. Our insurance subsidiaries, Atlantic States Insurance Company (“Atlantic States”), Southern Insurance Company of Virginia (“Southern”), Le Mars Insurance Company (“Le Mars”) and the Peninsula Insurance Group (“Peninsula”), which consists of Peninsula Indemnity Company and The Peninsula Insurance Company, write personal and commercial lines of property and casualty insurance exclusively through a network of independent insurance agents in certain Mid-Atlantic, Midwest and Southern states. The personal lines products consist primarily of homeowners and private passenger automobile policies. The commercial lines products consist primarily of commercial automobile, commercial multi-peril and workers’ compensation policies. Donegal Mutual and our insurance subsidiaries conduct business together as the Donegal Insurance Group. We also own approximately 48% of the outstanding stock of Donegal Financial Services Corporation (“DFSC”), a thrift holding company that owns Province Bank FSB. Donegal Mutual owns the remaining approximately 52% of the outstanding stock of DFSC.
     At September 30, 2008, Donegal Mutual held approximately 42% of our outstanding Class A common stock and approximately 74% of our outstanding Class B common stock.
     Atlantic States and Donegal Mutual are parties to a pooling agreement under which each company places all of its direct written business in the pool and both companies proportionately share the underwriting results of the pool, excluding certain reinsurance assumed by Donegal Mutual from our other insurance subsidiaries. From July 1, 2000 through February 29, 2008, Atlantic States had a 70% share of the results of the pool, and Donegal Mutual had a 30% share of the results of the pool. Effective March 1, 2008, Donegal Mutual and Atlantic States amended the pooling agreement to increase Atlantic States’ share of the results of the pool to 80%. In connection with this amendment to the pooling agreement, Donegal Mutual transferred approximately $11.9 million in cash and net liabilities to Atlantic States. See Note 4 — Reinsurance for more information regarding the pooling agreement.
     On March 7, 2007, our board of directors authorized a share repurchase program, pursuant to which we may purchase up to 500,000 shares of our Class A common stock at prices prevailing from time to time in the open market subject to the provisions of Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) Rule 10b-18 and in privately negotiated transactions. We purchased 4,000 and 32,000 shares of our Class A common stock under this program during the three months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007, respectively. We purchased 144,243 and 165,727 shares of our Class A common stock under this program during the nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007, respectively. We have purchased a total of 410,669 shares of our Class A common stock under this program through September 30, 2008.
2 — Basis of Presentation
     Our financial information for the interim periods included in this Form 10-Q Report is unaudited; however, such information reflects all adjustments, consisting only of normal recurring adjustments that, in the opinion of our management, are necessary for a fair presentation of our financial position, results of operations and cash flows for the interim periods included in this Form 10-Q Report. Our results of operations for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 are not necessarily indicative of our results of operations to be expected for the twelve months ending December 31, 2008.
     These interim financial statements should be read in conjunction with the financial statements and notes thereto contained in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007.
3 — Earnings Per Share
     We have two classes of common stock, which we refer to as our Class A common stock and our Class B common stock. Holders of our Class A common stock are entitled to be paid cash dividends that are at least 10% higher than those declared and paid on our Class B common stock at the same time we

6


 

pay dividends on our Class B common stock. Accordingly, we use the two-class method for the computation of earnings per common share pursuant to Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (SFAS) No. 128, “Earnings Per Share.” The two-class method is an earnings allocation formula that determines earnings per share separately for each class of common stock based on dividends declared and an allocation of remaining undistributed earnings using a participation percentage reflecting the dividend rights of each class. A reconciliation of the numerators and denominators used in the basic and diluted per share computations is presented below for each class of stock:
For the Three Months Ended September 30:
                                 
    (dollars in thousands, except per share data)  
    2008     2007  
    Class A     Class B     Class A     Class B  
 
                               
Basic net income per share:
                               
Numerator:
                               
Allocation of net income
  $ 5,768     $ 1,455     $ 8,930     $ 2,282  
 
                       
Denominator:
                               
Weighted-average shares outstanding
    19,882,405       5,576,775       19,628,405       5,576,775  
 
                       
Basic net income per share
  $ 0.29     $ 0.26     $ 0.45     $ 0.41  
 
                       
 
                               
Diluted net income per share:
                               
Numerator:
                               
Allocation of net income
  $ 5,768     $ 1,455     $ 8,930     $ 2,282  
 
                       
Denominator:
                               
Number of shares used in basic computation
    19,882,405       5,576,775       19,628,405       5,576,775  
Weighted-average effect of dilutive securities Director and employee stock options
    132,787             221,611        
 
                       
Number of shares used in per share computations
    20,015,192       5,576,775       19,850,016       5,576,775  
 
                       
Diluted net income per share
  $ 0.29     $ 0.26     $ 0.45     $ 0.41  
 
                       
For the Nine Months Ended September 30:
                                 
    (dollars in thousands, except per share data)  
    2008     2007  
    Class A     Class B     Class A     Class B  
 
                               
Basic net income per share:
                               
Numerator:
                               
Allocation of net income
  $ 16,629     $ 4,212     $ 21,886     $ 5,597  
 
                       
Denominator:
                               
Weighted-average shares outstanding
    19,849,971       5,576,775       19,674,869       5,576,775  
 
                       
Basic net income per share
  $ 0.84     $ 0.76     $ 1.11     $ 1.00  
 
                       
 
                               
Diluted net income per share:
                               
Numerator:
                               
Allocation of net income
  $ 16,629     $ 4,212     $ 21,886     $ 5,597  
 
                       
Denominator:
                               
Number of shares used in basic computation
    19,849,971       5,576,775       19,674,869       5,576,775  
Weighted-average effect of dilutive securities Director and employee stock options
    176,458             292,257        
 
                       
Number of shares used in per share computations
    20,026,429       5,576,775       19,967,126       5,576,775  
 
                       
Diluted net income per share
  $ 0.83     $ 0.76     $ 1.10     $ 1.00  
 
                       
Options to purchase the following number of shares of Class A common stock were not included in the computation of diluted earnings per share because the exercise price of the options was greater than the average market price during the relevant period:
                                 
    Nine Months Ended   Three Months Ended
    September 30,   September 30,
    2008   2007   2008   2007
 
                               
Number of shares
    1,031,500       1,051,667       1,028,500       1,032,500  
 
                               

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4 — Reinsurance
     Atlantic States has participated in an inter-company pooling agreement with Donegal Mutual since 1986. Both Atlantic States and Donegal Mutual place all of their direct business into the pool, and Atlantic States and Donegal Mutual then proportionately share the pooled business in accordance with the terms of the pooling agreement. From July 1, 2000 through February 29, 2008, Atlantic States had a 70% share of the results of the pool, and Donegal Mutual had a 30% share of the results of the pool. Effective March 1, 2008, Donegal Mutual and Atlantic States amended the pooling agreement to increase Atlantic States’ share of the results of the pool to 80%. In connection with this amendment to the pooling agreement, Donegal Mutual transferred approximately $11.9 million of cash and net liabilities to Atlantic States. Net liabilities transferred as of March 1, 2008 consisted of the following:
         
    (dollars in thousands)  
Unearned premiums (net of reinsurance)
  $ 13,626  
Less: Ceding commissions
    (1,709 )
 
     
 
       
Net liabilities transferred
  $ 11,917  
 
     
     Atlantic States, Southern and Donegal Mutual purchase third-party reinsurance on a combined basis. Le Mars and Peninsula have separate third-party reinsurance programs that provide similar types of coverage and that are commensurate with their relative size and exposures. Several different reinsurers are used, all of which, consistent with Donegal Insurance Group’s requirements, have an A.M. Best rating of A- (Excellent) or better or, with respect to foreign reinsurers, have a financial condition that, in the opinion of our management, is equivalent to a company with at least an A- rating. The following information relates to the external reinsurance Atlantic States, Southern and Donegal Mutual have in place during 2008:
    excess of loss reinsurance, under which losses are automatically reinsured, through a series of contracts, over a set retention ($600,000 for 2008), and
 
    catastrophe reinsurance, under which Donegal Insurance Group recovers, through a series of contracts, 100% of an accumulation of many losses resulting from a single event, including natural disasters, over a set retention ($3.0 million for 2008).
     Our insurance subsidiaries and Donegal Mutual also purchase facultative reinsurance to cover exposures from losses that exceed the limits provided by their respective treaty reinsurance.
     In addition to the pooling agreement and third-party reinsurance, Atlantic States, Southern, Le Mars and Peninsula have various reinsurance agreements with Donegal Mutual.
     Our 2008 reinsurance program was renewed at lower rates compared to 2007, largely attributable to our decision to increase our excess of loss reinsurance retention from $400,000 to $600,000 effective January 1, 2008. We made no other significant changes to our third-party reinsurance or other reinsurance agreements between our insurance subsidiaries and Donegal Mutual during the nine months ended September 30, 2008.

8


 

5 — Investments
     We held fixed maturities and equity securities with unrealized losses representing declines that we considered temporary at September 30, 2008 as follows:
                                 
    Less than 12 months     12 months or longer  
    Fair     Unrealized     Fair     Unrealized  
    Value     Losses     Value     Losses  
    (dollars in thousands)  
U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government corporations and agencies
  $ 6,076     $ 24     $     $  
Obligations of states and political subdivisions
    174,259       12,843       72,709       4,554  
Corporate securities
    19,483       1,360       2,644       1,128  
Mortgage-backed securities
    53,315       653       6,049       87  
Equity securities
    3,491       377              
 
                       
Total
  $ 256,624     $ 15,257     $ 81,402     $ 5,769  
 
                       
     We held fixed maturities and equity securities with unrealized losses representing declines that we considered temporary at December 31, 2007 as follows:
                                 
    Less than 12 months     12 months or longer  
    Fair     Unrealized     Fair     Unrealized  
    Value     Losses     Value     Losses  
    (dollars in thousands)  
U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government corporations and agencies
  $     $     $ 41,579     $ 181  
Obligations of states and political subdivisions
    19,732       95       15,400       101  
Corporate securities
    2,326       179       7,626       166  
Mortgage-backed securities
                23,924       267  
Equity securities
    8,458       1,340       2,193       870  
 
                       
Total
  $ 30,516     $ 1,614     $ 90,722     $ 1,585  
 
                       
     Of our total fixed maturity securities with an unrealized loss at September 30, 2008, we classified 251 securities with a fair value of $288.7 million and an unrealized loss of $18.5 million as available-for-sale and carried them at fair value on our balance sheet, while we classified 41 securities with a fair value of $45.8 million and an unrealized loss of $2.2 million as held-to-maturity on our balance sheet and carried them at amortized cost.
     Of our total fixed maturity securities with an unrealized loss at December 31, 2007, we classified 56 securities with a fair value of $45.5 million and an unrealized loss of $448,418 as available-for-sale and carried them at fair value on our balance sheet, while we classified 50 securities with a fair value of $65.1 million and an unrealized loss of $541,049 as held-to-maturity on our balance sheet and carried them at amortized cost.
     We have no direct exposure to sub-prime residential mortgage-backed securities and hold no collateralized debt obligations. Substantially all of the unrealized losses in our fixed maturity investment portfolio resulted from general market conditions and the related impact on our fixed maturity investment valuations. Increases in municipal bond market yields resulted in overall market value declines in our municipal bond holdings as of September 30, 2008. When determining possible impairment of the debt securities we own, we consider unrealized losses that are due to the impact of general market conditions to be temporary in nature because we have the ability and intent to hold the debt securities we own to maturity. We evaluated the near-term prospects of the issuers of those investments in relation to the severity and duration of the impairment. Based upon that evaluation and our ability and intent to hold those investments for a reasonable period of time sufficient for a recovery of fair value, we did not consider those investments to be other than temporarily impaired at September 30, 2008. We determined that certain investments trading below cost had declined on an other than temporary basis during the third quarter of 2008 and 2007. We included losses of $328,716 and $197,500 in net realized investment gains (losses) for these investments in the third quarters of 2008 and 2007, respectively. We determined that certain investments trading below cost had declined on an other than temporary basis during the first nine months of 2008 and

9


 

2007. We included losses of $1.2 million and $295,500 in net realized investment gains (losses) for these investments in the first nine months of 2008 and 2007, respectively.
6 — Segment Information
     We evaluate the performance of our personal lines and commercial lines segments based upon the underwriting results of our insurance subsidiaries as determined under statutory accounting principles prescribed or permitted by various state insurance departments (“SAP”), which our management uses to measure the performance of our insurance subsidiaries. Financial data by segment is as follows:
                 
    Three Months Ended  
    September 30,  
    2008     2007  
    (dollars in thousands)  
Revenues:
               
Premiums earned:
               
Commercial lines
  $ 30,781     $ 28,058  
Personal lines
    57,390       49,552  
 
           
Net premiums earned
    88,171       77,610  
Net investment income
    5,802       5,813  
Realized investment gains (losses)
    (2,811 )     488  
Other
    1,547       1,530  
 
           
Total revenues
  $ 92,709     $ 85,441  
 
           
 
               
Income before income taxes:
               
Underwriting income:
               
Commercial lines
  $ 3,681     $ 4,417  
Personal lines
    1,181       3,604  
 
           
SAP underwriting income
    4,862       8,021  
GAAP adjustments
    578       1,059  
 
           
GAAP underwriting income
    5,440       9,080  
Net investment income
    5,802       5,813  
Realized investment gains (losses)
    (2,811 )     488  
Other
    833       312  
 
           
Income before income taxes
  $ 9,264     $ 15,693  
 
           
                 
    Nine Months Ended  
    September 30,  
    2008     2007  
    (dollars in thousands)  
Revenues:
               
Premiums earned:
               
Commercial lines
  $ 90,617     $ 85,610  
Personal lines
    166,891       146,273  
 
           
Net premiums earned
    257,508       231,883  
Net investment income
    17,287       16,879  
Realized investment gains (losses)
    (2,790 )     654  
Other
    4,467       4,312  
 
           
Total revenues
  $ 276,472     $ 253,728  
 
           
 
               
Income before income taxes:
               
Underwriting income (loss):
               
Commercial lines
  $ 10,446     $ 15,350  
Personal lines
    (5,051 )     1,611  
 
           
SAP underwriting income
    5,395       16,961  
GAAP adjustments (1)
    5,124       2,679  
 
           
GAAP underwriting income
    10,519       19,640  
Net investment income
    17,287       16,879  
Realized investment gains (losses)
    (2,790 )     654  
Other
    1,709       655  
 
           
Income before income taxes
  $ 26,725     $ 37,828  
 
           

10


 

 
(1)   GAAP adjustments for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 included an increase in deferred acquisition costs, which offset the ceding commissions that were included in the transfer of net liabilities from Donegal Mutual discussed in Note 4 — Reinsurance.
7 — Subordinated Debentures
     On May 15, 2003, we received $15.0 million in net proceeds from the issuance of subordinated debentures. We redeemed these debentures on August 15, 2008.
     On October 29, 2003, we received $10.0 million in net proceeds from the issuance of subordinated debentures. The debentures mature on October 29, 2033 and are callable at our option, at par, after October 29, 2008. The debentures carry an interest rate equal to the three-month LIBOR rate plus 3.85%, which is adjustable quarterly. At September 30, 2008, the interest rate on the debentures was 6.64%.
     On May 24, 2004, we received $5.0 million in net proceeds from the issuance of subordinated debentures. The debentures mature on May 24, 2034 and are callable at our option, at par, after May 24, 2009. The debentures carry an interest rate equal to the three-month LIBOR rate plus 3.85%, which is adjustable quarterly. At September 30, 2008, the interest rate on the debentures was 6.66%.
8 — Share-Based Compensation
     Effective January 1, 2006, we adopted SFAS No. 123(R), “Share-Based Payment” which requires the measurement of all share-based payments to employees, including grants of stock options, using a fair-value-based method and the recording of such expense in our consolidated statements of income. In determining the expense to be recorded for stock options granted to directors and employees of our subsidiaries and affiliates other than Donegal Mutual, the fair value of each option award is estimated on the date of grant using the Black-Scholes option pricing model. The significant assumptions we utilize in applying the Black-Scholes option pricing model are the risk-free interest rate, expected term, dividend yield and expected volatility.
     Under SFAS No. 123(R), the compensation expense for our stock compensation plans that we charged against income before income taxes was $55,518 and $94,655 for the three months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007, respectively, with a corresponding income tax benefit of $19,431 and $33,129, respectively. The compensation expense for our stock compensation plans that we charged against income before income taxes was $142,214 and $248,798 for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007, respectively, with a corresponding income tax benefit of $49,775 and $87,079, respectively. As of September 30, 2008, our total unrecognized compensation cost related to nonvested share-based compensation granted under our stock compensation plans was $320,682. We expect to recognize this cost over a weighted average period of 2.7 years.
     SFAS No. 123(R) does not establish accounting requirements for share-based compensation to nonemployees. We continue to account for share-based compensation to employees and directors of Donegal Mutual under the provisions of FIN No. 44 and EITF 00-23, which state that when we grant share-based compensation to employees of a controlling entity, we should measure the fair value of the award at the grant date and recognize the fair value as a dividend to the controlling entity. These provisions apply to options we granted to employees and directors of Donegal Mutual, the employer of a majority of the employees that provide services to us. We recorded implied dividends of $1,709,099 and $22,282 for the three months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007, respectively. We recorded implied dividends of $1,749,063 and $61,441 for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007, respectively.
     We received cash from option exercises under all stock compensation plans for the three months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007 of $877,773 and $375,210, respectively. We realized tax benefits for the tax deductions from option exercises of share-based compensation of $51,459 and $161,230 for the three months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007, respectively. We received cash from option exercises under all stock compensation plans for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007 of $2.3 million and $504,380, respectively. We realized tax benefits for the tax deductions from option exercises of share-

11


 

based compensation of $683,216 and $198,965 for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007, respectively.
9 — Fair Value Measurements
     As of January 1, 2008, we adopted SFAS No. 157, “Fair Value Measurements,” which defines fair value, establishes a framework for measuring fair value in generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) and requires expanded disclosures about fair value measurements. SFAS No. 157 establishes a hierarchy that ranks the quality and reliability of inputs, or assumptions, used in the determination of fair value and requires financial assets and liabilities carried at fair value to be classified and disclosed in one of the following three categories:
     Level 1 — quoted prices in active markets for identical assets and liabilities
     Level 2 — directly or indirectly observable inputs other than Level 1 quoted prices
     Level 3 — unobservable inputs not corroborated by market data
     For investments that have quoted market prices in active markets, we use the quoted market price as fair value and include these investments in Level 1 of the fair value hierarchy. We classify publicly traded equity securities as Level 1. When quoted market prices in active markets are not available, we use various pricing services to determine fair value and include these investments in Level 2 of the fair value hierarchy. We classify our fixed maturity securities as Level 2. We had no investments classified as Level 3 at September 30, 2008.
     We evaluate assets and liabilities on a recurring basis to determine the appropriate level at which to classify them for each reporting period. The following table presents our fair value measurements for our investments in available-for-sale fixed maturity and equity securities as of September 30, 2008:
                                 
            Fair Value Measurements Using  
            Quoted Prices in              
            Active Markets for     Significant Other     Significant  
            Identical Assets     Observable Inputs     Unobservable Inputs  
    Fair Value     (Level 1)     (Level 2)     (Level 3)  
  (dollars in thousands)
Fixed maturities — available for sale
  $ 414,296     $     $ 414,296     $  
Equity securities
    14,758       8,508       6,250        
 
                       
Total
  $ 429,054     $ 8,508     $ 420,546     $  
 
                       
     We also adopted FASB Staff Position (“FSP”) No. 157-2, which allowed us to defer the effective date of SFAS No. 157 for certain nonfinancial assets and liabilities to January 1, 2009.
10 — Impact of New Accounting Standards
     In February 2007, the FASB issued SFAS No. 159, “The Fair Value Option for Financial Assets and Financial Liabilities — Including an Amendment of FASB Statement No. 115,” which permits companies to choose to measure many financial instruments and certain other items at fair value at specified election dates. Upon adoption, an entity reports unrealized gains and losses on items for which the fair value option has been elected in earnings at each subsequent reporting date. Most of the provisions apply only to entities that elect the fair value option. However, the amendment of SFAS No. 115, “Accounting for Certain Investments in Debt and Equity Securities,” applies to all entities with available-for-sale and trading securities. Effective January 1, 2008, we adopted SFAS No. 159. The adoption of SFAS No. 159 had no effect on our results of operations, financial condition or liquidity.
     On October 10, 2008, the FASB issued FSP No. 157-3, Determining the Fair Value of a Financial Asset When the Market for That Asset Is Not Active. FSP No. 157-3 clarifies the application of SFAS No. 157 in a market that is not active. FSP No. 157-3 was effective upon issuance, including prior periods for which financial statements had not been issued. The Company adopted the provisions of FSP No. 157-3 effective September 30, 2008.

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Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.
     You should read the following information in conjunction with the historical financial information and the notes thereto included in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations contained in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007.
Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates
     Our financial statements are combined with those of our insurance subsidiaries and are presented on a consolidated basis in accordance with GAAP.
     Our insurance subsidiaries make estimates and assumptions that can have a significant effect on amounts and disclosures that we report in our financial statements. The most significant estimates relate to the reserves of our insurance subsidiaries for property and casualty insurance unpaid losses and loss expenses, valuation of investments and our insurance subsidiaries’ policy acquisition costs. While we believe our estimates and the estimates of our insurance subsidiaries are appropriate, the ultimate amounts may differ from the amounts estimated. We regularly review these estimates and reflect any adjustment considered necessary in our current results of operations.
Liability for Losses and Loss Expenses
     Liabilities for losses and loss expenses are estimates at a given point in time of the amounts an insurer expects to pay with respect to policyholder claims based on facts and circumstances then known. An insurer recognizes at the time of establishing its estimates that its ultimate liability for losses and loss expenses will exceed or be less than those estimates. Our insurance subsidiaries base their estimates of liabilities for losses and loss expenses on assumptions as to future loss trends and expected claims severity, judicial theories of liability and other factors, including prevailing economic conditions. However, during the loss adjustment period, our insurance subsidiaries may learn additional facts regarding individual claims, and, consequently, it often becomes necessary for our insurance subsidiaries to adjust their estimates of liability. Our insurance subsidiaries reflect any adjustments to their liabilities for losses and loss expenses in their results of operations in the period in which we change our estimates.
     Our insurance subsidiaries maintain liabilities for the payment of losses and loss expenses with respect to both reported and unreported claims. It is our intent that the liabilities for loss expenses will cover the ultimate costs of settling all losses, including investigation and litigation costs from those losses. Our insurance subsidiaries base the amount of their liability for reported losses primarily upon a case-by-case evaluation of the type of risk involved, knowledge of the circumstances surrounding each claim and the insurance policy provisions relating to the type of loss. Our insurance subsidiaries determine the amount of their liability for unreported claims and loss expenses on the basis of historical information by line of insurance. Our insurance subsidiaries account for inflation in the reserving function through analysis of costs and trends and reviews of historical reserving results. Our insurance subsidiaries closely monitor their liabilities and recompute them periodically using new information on reported claims and a variety of statistical techniques. Our insurance subsidiaries do not discount their liabilities for losses and loss expenses.
     Our liability estimates can change over time because of unexpected changes in assumptions related to our insurance subsidiaries’ external environment and, to a lesser extent, assumptions as to our insurance subsidiaries’ internal operations. Assumptions related to our insurance subsidiaries’ external environment include the absence of significant changes in tort law and the legal environment that increase liability exposure, consistency in judicial interpretations of insurance coverage and policy provisions, stability in economic conditions and the rate of loss cost inflation. For example, our insurance subsidiaries have experienced a decrease in claims frequency on bodily injury liability claims during the past several years while claims severity has gradually increased. These trend changes give rise to greater uncertainty as to the pattern of future loss settlements on bodily injury claims. Related uncertainties regarding future trends include the cost of medical technologies and procedures and changes in the utilization of medical procedures. Internal assumptions include accurate measurement of the impact of rate changes and changes in policy provisions and consistency in the quality and characteristics of business written within a given line of business among other items. To the extent our insurance subsidiaries determine that underlying factors impacting their assumptions have changed, our insurance subsidiaries attempt to make appropriate adjustments for those changes in their liabilities. Accordingly, our insurance subsidiaries’ ultimate liability for unpaid losses and loss expenses will likely differ from the amount recorded at September

13


 

30, 2008. For every 1% change in our estimate of our insurance subsidiaries’ liability for losses and loss expenses, net of reinsurance recoverable, the effect on our pre-tax results of operations would be approximately $1.6 million.
     The establishment of appropriate liabilities is an inherently uncertain process, and there can be no assurance that the ultimate liability of our insurance subsidiaries will not exceed our insurance subsidiaries’ loss and loss expense reserves and have an adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition. Furthermore, we cannot predict the timing, frequency and extent of adjustments to our insurance subsidiaries’ estimated future liabilities, since the historical conditions and events that serve as a basis for our insurance subsidiaries’ estimates of ultimate claim costs may change. As is the case for substantially all property and casualty insurance companies, our insurance subsidiaries have found it necessary in the past to increase their estimated future liabilities for losses and loss expenses in certain periods, and in other periods their estimates have exceeded their actual liabilities. We may have to make adjustments in the future. However, on the basis of our insurance subsidiaries’ internal procedures, which analyze, among other things, their prior assumptions, their experience with similar cases and historical trends such as reserving patterns, loss payments, pending levels of unpaid claims and product mix, as well as court decisions, economic conditions and public attitudes, we believe that our insurance subsidiaries have made adequate provision for their liability for losses and loss expenses.
     Excluding the impact of isolated catastrophic weather events, our insurance subsidiaries have noted slight downward trends in the number of claims incurred and the number of claims outstanding at period ends relative to their premium base in recent years across most of their lines of business. However, the amount of the average claim outstanding has increased gradually over the past several years as the property and casualty insurance industry has experienced increased litigation trends, periods in which economic conditions extended the estimated length of disabilities, increased medical loss cost trends and a general slowing of settlement rates in litigated claims.
     Because of Atlantic States’ participation in the pool with Donegal Mutual, Atlantic States is exposed to adverse loss development on the business of Donegal Mutual included in the pool. However, pooled business represents the predominant percentage of the net underwriting activity of both companies, and Donegal Mutual and Atlantic States proportionately share any adverse risk development of the pooled business. Since substantially all of the business of Atlantic States and Donegal Mutual is pooled and the results shared by each company according to its participation level under the terms of the pooling agreement, the underwriting pool is intended to produce a more uniform and stable underwriting result from year to year for each company than either would experience individually and to spread the risk of loss among each company. The risk profiles of the business written by Atlantic States and Donegal Mutual historically have been, and continue to be, substantially similar. The same management and underwriting personnel determine and administer the products, classes of business underwritten, pricing practices and underwriting standards of both companies. In addition, as the Donegal Insurance Group, Donegal Mutual and our insurance subsidiaries share a combined business plan to achieve market penetration and underwriting profitability objectives. The products marketed by our insurance subsidiaries and Donegal Mutual are generally complementary, thereby allowing Donegal Insurance Group to offer a broader range of products to a given market and to expand Donegal Insurance Group’s ability to service an entire personal lines or commercial lines account. Distinctions within the products of Donegal Mutual and our insurance subsidiaries generally relate to specific risk profiles targeted within similar classes of business, such as preferred tier products compared to standard tier products, but we do not allocate all of the standard risk gradients to one company. Therefore, the underwriting profitability of the business directly written by the individual companies will vary. However, as the risk characteristics of all business written directly by Donegal Mutual and Atlantic States are homogenized within the pool and each company shares the results according to each company’s participation level, each company realizes its pro rata share of the underwriting results of the pool.

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     Our insurance subsidiaries’ liability for losses and loss expenses by major line of business as of September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007 consisted of the following:
                 
    September 30,     December 31,  
    2008     2007  
    (dollars in thousands)  
 
               
Commercial lines:
               
Automobile
  $ 18,403     $ 20,274  
Workers’ compensation
    36,486       36,309  
Commercial multi-peril
    28,882       24,847  
Other
    1,585       1,780  
 
           
Total commercial lines
    85,356       83,210  
 
           
 
               
Personal lines:
               
Automobile
    58,567       55,796  
Homeowners
    11,291       10,121  
Other
    1,968       1,025  
 
           
Total personal lines
    71,826       66,942  
 
           
 
               
Total commercial and personal lines
    157,182       150,152  
Plus reinsurance recoverable
    84,966       76,280  
 
           
Total liability for losses and loss expenses
  $ 242,148     $ 226,432  
 
           
     We have evaluated the effect on our insurance subsidiaries’ loss and loss expense reserves and our stockholders’ equity in the event of reasonably likely changes in the variables considered in establishing the loss and loss expense reserves of our insurance subsidiaries. We established the range of reasonably likely changes based on a review of changes in accident year development by line of business and applied those changes to our insurance subsidiaries’ loss reserves as a whole. The selected range does not necessarily indicate what could be the potential best or worst case or the most likely scenario. The following table sets forth the estimated effect on our insurance subsidiaries’ loss and loss expense reserves and our stockholders’ equity in the event of reasonably likely changes in the variables considered in establishing loss and loss expense reserves:
                                 
    Adjusted Loss and                
    Loss Expense           Adjusted Loss and    
Change in Loss   Reserves Net of   Percentage Change   Loss Expense   Percentage Change
and Loss Expense   Reinsurance as of   in Equity as of   Reserves Net of   in Equity as of
Reserves Net of   September 30,   September 30,   Reinsurance as of   December 31,
Reinsurance   2008   2008(1)   December 31, 2007   2007(1)
(dollars in thousands)
 
(10.0)%   $ 141,464       2.9 %   $ 135,137       2.8 %
(7.5)     145,393       2.2       138,891       2.1  
(5.0)     149,323       1.4       142,644       1.4  
(2.5)     153,252       0.7       146,398       0.7  
Base     157,182             150,152        
2.5     161,112       -0.7       153,906       -0.7  
5.0     165,041       -1.4       157,660       -1.4  
7.5     168,971       -2.2       161,413       -2.1  
10.0     172,900       -2.9       165,167       -2.8  
 
(1)   Net of income tax effect.
Investments
     We make estimates concerning the valuation of our investments and the recognition of other than temporary declines in the value of our investments. When we consider the decline in value of an individual

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investment to be other than temporary, we write down the investment to its fair value, and we reflect the amount of the write-down as a realized loss in our results of operations. We individually monitor all investments for other than temporary declines in value. Generally, if an individual equity security has depreciated in value by more than 20% of original cost, and has been in such an unrealized loss position for more than six months, we assume there has been an other than temporary decline in value. We held 14 equity securities that were in an unrealized loss position at September 30, 2008. A substantial number of these equity securities have declined in value by less than 20% of original cost or have been in an unrealized loss position for less than six months. Certain of these equity securities have declined in value by more than 20% of original cost but have traded at a value exceeding 80% of original cost within the past six months or have been in an unrealized loss position for more than six months but have declined in value by less than 20% of original cost. Based upon our analysis of general market conditions and underlying factors impacting these equity securities, we consider these declines in value to be temporary. With respect to debt securities, we assume there has been an other than temporary decline in value if it is probable that we will not receive contractual payments. In addition, we may write down securities in an unrealized loss position based on a number of other factors, including the fair value of the investment being significantly below its cost, the deteriorating financial condition of the issuer of a security and the occurrence of industry, company and geographic events that have negatively impacted the value of a security or rating agency downgrades. We determined that certain investments trading below cost had declined on an other than temporary basis during the first nine months of 2008 and 2007. We included losses of $1.2 million and $295,500 in net realized investment gains (losses) in our results of operations for these investments in the first nine months of 2008 and 2007, respectively.
Policy Acquisition Costs
     We defer policy acquisition costs, consisting primarily of commissions, premium taxes and certain other underwriting costs that vary with and are primarily related to the production of business, and amortize them over the period in which our insurance subsidiaries earn the premiums. The method followed in computing deferred policy acquisition costs limits the amount of such deferred costs to their estimated realizable value, which gives effect to the premiums to be earned, related investment income, losses and loss expenses and certain other costs we expect to incur as our insurance subsidiaries earn the premiums. Estimates in the calculation of policy acquisition costs have not shown material variability because of uncertainties in applying accounting principles or as a result of sensitivities to changes in key assumptions.
Results of Operations — Three Months Ended September 30, 2008 Compared to Three Months Ended September 30, 2007
     Net Premiums Written. Net premiums written for the three months ended September 30, 2008 were $92.2 million, an increase of $12.3 million, or 15.4%, over the $79.9 million of net premiums written for the comparable period in 2007. Net premiums written in the third quarter of 2008 reflected the impact of the increased pooling allocation of approximately $7.5 million. Net premiums written during the third quarter also benefited from the renewal of our 2008 reinsurance program at lower rates compared to 2007. The lower reinsurance rates were largely due to our decision to increase our per loss retention from $400,000 to $600,000 effective January 1, 2008. Personal lines net premiums written increased $8.3 million, or 15.2%, in the third quarter of 2008 compared to the comparable period in 2007. Commercial lines net premiums written increased $3.9 million, or 15.6%, in the third quarter of 2008 compared to the comparable period in 2007.
     Net Premiums Earned. Net premiums earned increased to $88.2 million for the third quarter of 2008, an increase of $10.6 million, or 13.6%, over the third quarter of 2007. Our insurance subsidiaries earn premiums and recognize them as revenue over the terms of their policies, which are one year or less in duration. Therefore, increases or decreases in net premiums earned generally reflect increases or decreases in net premiums written in the preceding twelve-month period compared to the comparable period one year earlier. Net premiums earned in the third quarter of 2008 reflected the impact of the increased pooling allocation of approximately $7.5 million and benefited from the renewal of our 2008 reinsurance program at lower rates compared to 2007.
     Investment Income. For the three months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007, our net investment income was $5.8 million. Average invested assets increased from $593.2 million in the third quarter of 2007 to $621.2 million in the third quarter of 2008. The decrease in our annualized average rate of return on investments was primarily due to increased short-term investments in lower yielding U.S. Treasury securities during the third quarter of 2008.

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     Net Realized Investment Gains (Losses). Net realized investment losses in the third quarter of 2008 were $2.8 million, compared to net realized investment gains of $488,226 for the comparable period in 2007. Realized investment losses in the third quarter of 2008 included $1.4 million from the sale of fixed and equity securities, including all of our holdings of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac preferred stocks, and an amount of $1.1 million representing our pro rata share of investment losses in a limited partnership investment that is solely invested in equity securities. During the third quarter of 2008 and 2007, we included impairment losses of $328,716 and $197,500, respectively, in net realized investment gains (losses).
     Losses and Loss Expenses. Our loss ratio, which is the ratio of incurred losses and loss expenses to premiums earned, for the third quarter of 2008 was 60.4%, an increase from our 52.8% loss ratio for the third quarter of 2007. We experienced increased weather-related claim activity and reduced favorable loss development in the third quarter of 2008 compared to the comparable period in 2007. Our commercial lines loss ratio increased to 55.7% for the third quarter of 2008, compared to 49.1% for the third quarter of 2007, primarily due to increases in our commercial multi-peril and workers’ compensation loss ratios. Our personal lines loss ratio increased from 55.2% for the third quarter of 2007 to 62.6% for the third quarter of 2008 primarily due to increases in our homeowners and private passenger automobile loss ratios.
     Underwriting Expenses. Our expense ratio, which is the ratio of policy acquisition costs and other underwriting expenses to premiums earned, for the third quarter of 2008 and 2007 was 33.0% and 35.0%, respectively. Our expense ratio reflected a higher premium base and decreased expenses incurred for underwriting-based incentive compensation costs as a result of higher loss ratios compared to the comparable period in 2007.
     Combined Ratio. Our combined ratio was 93.8% and 88.3% for the three months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007, respectively. Our combined ratio represents the sum of our loss ratio, expense ratio and dividend ratio, which is the ratio of workers’ compensation policy dividends incurred to premiums earned.
     Interest Expense. Interest expense for the third quarter of 2008 was $398,855 compared to $733,558 for the third quarter of 2007. The lower interest expense reflected the redemption of $15.5 million of subordinated debentures in August 2008 and a decrease in average interest rates on our subordinated debentures in the third quarter of 2008 compared to the comparable period in 2007.
     Income Taxes. Income tax expense was $2.0 million for the third quarter of 2008, representing an effective tax rate of 22.0%, compared to $4.5 million for the third quarter of 2007, representing an effective tax rate of 28.6%. The change in effective tax rates is primarily due to tax-exempt interest income representing a greater proportion of net income before taxes in the 2008 period compared to the 2007 period.
     Net Income and Earnings Per Share. Our net income for the third quarter of 2008 was $7.2 million, or $.29 per share of Class A common stock on a diluted basis and $.26 per share of Class B common stock, compared to net income of $11.2 million, or $.45 per share of Class A common stock on a diluted basis and $.41 per share of Class B common stock, reported for the third quarter of 2007. Our diluted Class A shares outstanding for the third quarter of 2008 increased to 20.0 million, compared to 19.9 million for the third quarter of 2007. We had 5.6 million Class B shares outstanding for both periods.
Results of Operations — Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008 Compared to Nine Months Ended September 30, 2007
     Net Premiums Written. Net premiums written for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 were $286.3 million, an increase of $43.4 million, or 17.9%, over the comparable period in 2007. Net premiums written for the first nine months of 2008 included a $13.6 million transfer of unearned premiums related to the change in the pooling agreement between Atlantic States and Donegal Mutual effective March 1, 2008. Net premiums written in the first nine months of 2008 also reflected the impact of the increased pooling allocation of approximately $18.0 million and benefited from the renewal of our 2008 reinsurance program at lower rates compared to 2007. The lower reinsurance rates were largely due to our decision to increase our per loss retention from $400,000 to $600,000 effective January 1, 2008. Commercial lines net premiums written increased $13.7 million, or 15.6%, in the first nine months of 2008 compared to the comparable period in 2007. Personal lines net premiums written increased $29.7 million, or 19.2%, in the first nine months of 2008 compared to the comparable period in 2007.
     Net Premiums Earned. Net premiums earned increased to $257.5 million for the first nine months of 2008, an increase of $25.6 million, or 11.0%, over the first nine months of 2007. Premiums are earned, or

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recognized as revenue, over the terms of our policies, which are one year or less in duration. Therefore, increases or decreases in net premiums earned generally reflect increases or decreases in net premiums written in the preceding twelve-month period compared to the comparable period one year earlier. Net premiums earned in the first nine months of 2008 reflected the impact of the increased pooling allocation of approximately $17.0 million and benefited from the renewal of our 2008 reinsurance program at lower rates compared to 2007.
     Investment Income. For the nine months ended September 30, 2008, our net investment income increased 2.4% to $17.3 million, compared to $16.9 million for the comparable period one year ago. An increase in average invested assets from $594.1 million in the first nine months of 2007 to $615.0 million in the first nine months of 2008 accounted for the increase in net investment income.
     Net Realized Investment Gains (Losses). Net realized investment losses in the first nine months of 2008 were $2.8 million, compared to net realized gains of $653,656 for the comparable period in 2007. Realized investment losses in the first nine months of 2008 included $1.4 million from the sale of fixed maturities and equity securities, including all of our holdings of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac preferred stocks, and an amount of $1.1 million representing our pro rata share of investment losses in a limited partnership investment that is solely invested in equity securities. We recognized impairment charges of $1.2 million in the first nine months of 2008, compared to impairment charges of $295,500 recognized in the first nine months of 2007. The impairment charges for both periods were the result of declines in the market value of equity securities that we deemed to be other than temporary. The remaining net realized investment gains and losses in both periods resulted from normal turnover of our investment portfolio.
     Losses and Loss Expenses. Our loss ratio in the first nine months of 2008 was 62.9%, compared to 57.0% in the first nine months of 2007. Losses and loss expenses increased for the first nine months of 2008 as we experienced increased weather-related claim activity and reduced favorable loss reserve development compared to the comparable period in 2007. Our commercial lines loss ratio increased to 54.7% in the first nine months of 2008, compared to 47.8% in the first nine months of 2007, primarily due to increases in our workers’ compensation and commercial multi-peril loss ratios. Our personal lines loss ratio increased from 62.5% in the first nine months of 2007 to 67.6% in the first nine months of 2008 primarily due to increases in our homeowners and private passenger automobile loss ratios.
     Underwriting Expenses. Our expense ratio for the first nine months of 2008 was 32.6%, compared to 34.2% in the first nine months of 2007. Our expense ratio reflected decreased expenses incurred for underwriting-based incentive compensation costs as a result of higher loss ratios compared to the comparable period in 2007.
     Combined Ratio. Our combined ratio was 95.9% and 91.5% for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007, respectively. Our combined ratio represents the sum of our loss ratio, expense ratio and dividend ratio. The increase in our combined ratio was largely attributable to the increase in our loss ratio for the 2008 period compared to the 2007 period.
     Interest Expense. Interest expense for the first nine months of 2008 was $1.5 million compared to $2.2 million for the first nine months of 2007. The lower interest expense reflected the redemption of $15.5 million of subordinated debentures in August 2008 and a decrease in average interest rates on our subordinated debentures in the first nine months of 2008 compared to the comparable period in 2007.
     Income Taxes. Income tax expense was $5.9 million for the first nine months of 2008, representing an effective tax rate of 22.0%, compared to $10.3 million for the first nine months of 2007, representing an effective tax rate of 27.3%. The change in effective tax rates is primarily due to tax-exempt interest income representing a greater proportion of net income before taxes in the 2008 period compared to the 2007 period.
     Net Income and Earnings Per Share. Our net income for the first nine months of 2008 was $20.8 million, or $.83 per share of Class A common stock on a diluted basis and $.76 per share of Class B common stock, compared to our net income of $27.5 million, or $1.10 per share of Class A common stock on a diluted basis and $1.00 per share of Class B common stock, for the first nine months of 2007. Our diluted Class A and Class B shares outstanding were 20.0 million and 5.6 million, respectively, for both periods.

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Liquidity and Capital Resources
     Liquidity is a measure of an entity’s ability to secure enough cash to meet its contractual obligations and operating needs as they arise. Our major sources of funds from operations are the net cash flows generated from our insurance subsidiaries’ underwriting results, investment income and maturing investments.
     We have historically generated sufficient net positive cash flow from our operations to fund our commitments and build our investment portfolio, thereby increasing future investment returns. The impact of the pooling agreement between Donegal Mutual and Atlantic States has historically been cash flow positive because of the historical underwriting profitability of the pool. The pool is settled monthly, thereby resulting in cash flows substantially similar to cash flows that would result from the underwriting of direct business. We have not experienced any unusual variations in the timing of claim payments associated with the loss reserves of our insurance subsidiaries. We maintain a high degree of liquidity in our investment portfolio in the form of readily marketable fixed maturities, equity securities and short-term investments. Our fixed-maturity investment portfolio is structured following a “laddering” approach, so that projected cash flows from investment income and principal maturities are evenly distributed from a timing perspective, thereby providing an additional measure of liquidity to meet our obligations should an unexpected variation occur in the future. Net cash flows provided by operating activities in the first nine months of 2008 and 2007 were $48.5 million and $25.1 million, respectively. The net cash flows provided by operating activities in the first nine months of 2008 included an $11.9 million transfer of cash from Donegal Mutual discussed in Note 4 — Reinsurance.
     We maintain a credit agreement with Manufacturers and Traders Trust Company (“M&T”) relating to a $35.0 million unsecured, revolving line of credit that will expire in July 2010. As of September 30, 2008, we have the ability to borrow $35.0 million at interest rates equal to M&T’s current prime rate or the then current LIBOR rate plus between 1.50% and 1.75%, depending on our leverage ratio. In addition, we pay a fee of 0.15% per annum on the loan commitment amount, regardless of usage. The credit agreement requires our compliance with certain covenants, which include minimum levels of our net worth, leverage ratio and statutory surplus and A.M. Best ratings of our insurance subsidiaries. During the nine months ended September 30, 2008, we had no borrowings outstanding under the credit agreement, and we were in compliance with all requirements of the credit agreement.
     The following table shows our expected payments for significant contractual obligations as of September 30, 2008.
                                         
            Less                    
            than 1     1-3     4-5     After 5  
    Total     year     years     years     years  
    (dollars in thousands)  
Net liability for unpaid losses and loss expenses of our insurance subsidiaries
  $ 157,182     $ 71,497     $ 68,545     $ 7,667     $ 9,473  
Subordinated debentures
    15,465                         15,465  
 
                             
 
                                       
Total contractual obligations
  $ 172,647     $ 71,497     $ 68,545     $ 7,667     $ 24,938  
 
                             
     We estimate the timing of the amounts for the net liability for unpaid losses and loss expenses of our insurance subsidiaries based on historical experience and expectations of future payment patterns. The liability is shown net of reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses and loss expenses to reflect expected future cash flows related to such liability. Amounts assumed by Atlantic States from the pooling agreement with Donegal Mutual represent a substantial portion of our insurance subsidiaries’ gross liability for unpaid losses and loss expenses, and amounts ceded by Atlantic States to the pooling agreement represent a substantial portion of our insurance subsidiaries’ reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses and loss expenses. Cash settlement of Atlantic States’ assumed liability from the pool is included in monthly settlements of pooled activity, as we net amounts ceded to and assumed from the pool. Although Donegal Mutual and we do not anticipate any changes in the pool participation levels in the foreseeable future, any such change would be prospective in nature and therefore would not impact the timing of expected payments for Atlantic States’ proportionate liability for pooled losses occurring in periods prior to the effective date of such change.

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     The timing of the amounts for the subordinated debentures is based on their contractual maturities. The debentures are redeemable at our option, at par, after five years from their issuance dates as discussed in Note 6 — Subordinated Debentures. Our subordinated debentures carry interest rates that vary based upon the three-month LIBOR rate and adjust quarterly. Based upon the interest rates in effect as of September 30, 2008, our annual interest cost associated with our subordinated debentures is approximately $1.0 million. For every 1% change in the three-month LIBOR rate, the effect on our annual interest cost would be approximately $150,000. We redeemed subordinated debentures in the amount of $15,464,000 on August 15, 2008.
     On March 7, 2007, our board of directors authorized a share repurchase program pursuant to which we may purchase up to 500,000 shares of our Class A common stock at market prices prevailing from time to time in the open market subject to the provisions of SEC Rule 10b-18 and in privately negotiated transactions. We purchased 4,000 and 32,000 shares of our Class A common stock under this program during the three months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007, respectively. We purchased 144,243 and 165,727 shares of our Class A common stock under this program during the nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007, respectively. We have purchased a total of 410,669 shares of our Class A common stock under this program through September 30, 2008.
     On October 16, 2008, our board of directors declared quarterly cash dividends of 10.5 cents per share for our Class A common stock and 9.25 cents per share for our Class B common stock, payable November 17, 2008 to stockholders of record as of the close of business on November 3, 2008. There are no regulatory restrictions on the payment of dividends to our stockholders, although there are state law restrictions on the payment of annual dividends greater than 10% of statutory surplus from our insurance subsidiaries to us. Our insurance subsidiaries are required by law to maintain certain minimum surplus on a statutory basis and require prior approval of the applicable domiciliary insurance regulatory authorities for dividends in excess of 10% of statutory surplus. Our insurance subsidiaries are subject to risk-based capital (“RBC”) requirements. At December 31, 2007, our insurance subsidiaries’ capital levels were each substantially above the applicable RBC requirements. At January 1, 2008, amounts available for distribution as dividends to us from our insurance subsidiaries without prior approval of their domiciliary insurance regulatory authorities were $24.1 million from Atlantic States, $5.0 million from Southern, $5.1 million from Le Mars and $3.7 million from Peninsula. Atlantic States paid a $10.0 million dividend to us on August 11, 2008. All other amounts remained available at September 30, 2008.
     As of September 30, 2008, we had no material commitments for capital expenditures.
Equity Price Risk
     Our portfolio of marketable equity securities, which is carried on our consolidated balance sheets at estimated fair value, has exposure to the risk of loss resulting from an adverse change in prices. We manage this risk by performing an analysis of prospective investments and through regular reviews of our portfolio by our investment staff.
Credit Risk
     Our portfolio of fixed-maturity securities and, to a lesser extent, our portfolio of short-term investments is subject to credit risk, which we define as the potential loss in market value resulting from adverse changes in the borrower’s ability to repay the debt. We manage this risk by performing an analysis of prospective investments and through regular reviews of our portfolio by our investment staff. We also limit the percentage and amount of our total investment portfolio that can be invested in the securities of any one issuer.
     Our insurance subsidiaries provide property and liability insurance coverages through independent insurance agencies. We bill the majority of this business directly to the insured, although a portion of the commercial business is billed through agents to whom our insurance subsidiaries extend credit in the normal course of business.
     Because the pooling agreement does not relieve Atlantic States of primary liability as the originating insurer, Atlantic States is subject to a concentration of credit risk arising from business ceded to Donegal Mutual. Our insurance subsidiaries maintain reinsurance agreements with Donegal Mutual and with a number of other major unaffiliated authorized reinsurers.

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Impact of Inflation
     We establish property and casualty insurance premium rates before we know the amount of losses and loss expenses, or the extent to which inflation may impact such expenses. Consequently, our insurance subsidiaries attempt, in establishing rates, to anticipate the potential impact of inflation.
Risk Factors
     Our business, results of operations and financial condition, and, therefore, the value of our Class A common stock and Class B common stock, are subject to a number of risks. For a description of certain risks, we refer to our 2007 Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the SEC on March 13, 2008.

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Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.
     Our market risk generally represents the risk of gain or loss that may result from the potential change in the fair value of our investment portfolio as a result of fluctuations in prices and interest rates and, to a lesser extent, our debt obligations. We attempt to manage our interest rate risk by maintaining an appropriate relationship between the average duration of our investment portfolio and the approximate duration of our liabilities, i.e., policy claims of our insurance subsidiaries and debt obligations.
     Our investment mix has shifted slightly due to our continuing shift from taxable to tax-exempt fixed maturity investments and a shift from equity securities to short-term investments during 2008. We have maintained approximately the same duration of our investment portfolio to our liabilities from December 31, 2007 to September 30, 2008.
     There have been no material changes to our quantitative or qualitative market risk exposure from December 31, 2007 through September 30, 2008.
Item 4. Controls and Procedures.
Evaluation of Disclosure Controls and Procedures
     We conducted an evaluation, under the supervision and with the participation of our management, including our Chief Executive Officer and our Chief Financial Officer, of the effectiveness of the design and operation of our disclosure controls and procedures pursuant to SEC Rule 13a-15(e) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, as of the end of the period covered by this report. Based upon that evaluation, our Chief Executive Officer and our Chief Financial Officer concluded that our disclosure controls and procedures are effective to ensure that information we, including our consolidated subsidiaries, are required to disclose in our periodic filings with the SEC is recorded, processed, summarized and reported within the time periods specified in the SEC’s rules and forms.
Changes in Internal Control Over Financial Reporting
     There has been no change in our internal control over financial reporting during the quarter covered by this Form 10-Q report that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to affect materially, our internal control over financial reporting.
Safe Harbor Statement Under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995
     Certain forward-looking statements contained herein involve risks and uncertainties. These statements include certain discussions relating to underwriting, premium and investment income volume, business strategies and our business activities during 2008 and beyond. In some cases, you can identify forward-looking statements by terms such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “could,” “would,” “expect,” “plan,” “intend,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “project,” “predict,” “potential” and similar expressions. These forward-looking statements reflect our current views about future events, are based on assumptions that reflect current conditions and are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause our actual results to differ materially from those anticipated by these forward-looking statements. Many of the factors that will determine future events or our future results of operations are beyond our ability to control or predict.

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Part II. Other Information
Item 1. Legal Proceedings.
     None.
Item 2. Changes in Securities, Use of Proceeds and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities.
                     
                (d) Maximum
                Number (or
            (c) Total Number of   Approximate Dollar
            Shares (or Units)   Value) of Shares (or
            Purchased as Part   Units) that May Yet
    (a) Total Number of   (b) Average   of Publicly   Be Purchased Under
    Shares (or   Price Paid per   Announced Plans or   the Plans or
Period   Units) Purchased   Share (or Unit)   Programs   Programs
 
                   
Month #1
  Class A — None   Class A — None   Class A — None        
July 1-31, 2008
  Class B — None   Class B — None   Class B — None        
 
                   
Month #2
  Class A — None   Class A — None   Class A — None        
August 1-31, 2008
  Class B — 1,001   Class B — $20.00   Class B — 1,001     (2 )
 
                   
Month #3
  Class A — 4,000   Class A — $18.00   Class A — 4,000        
September 1-30, 2008
  Class B — None   Class B — None   Class B — None     (1 )
 
  Class A — 4,000   Class A — $18.00   Class A — 4,000        
Total
  Class B — 1,001   Class B — $20.00   Class B — 1,001        
 
(1)   We purchased these shares pursuant to our announcement on March 7, 2007 that we will purchase up to 500,000 shares of our Class A common stock at market prices prevailing from time to time in the open market subject to the provisions of SEC Rule 10b-18 and in privately negotiated transactions. We may purchase up to 89,331 additional shares of our Class A common stock under this stock repurchase program.
 
(2)   Donegal Mutual purchased these shares pursuant to its announcement on August 17, 2004 that it will, at its discretion, purchase shares of our Class A common stock and Class B common stock at market prices prevailing from time to time in the open market subject to the provisions of SEC Rule 10b-18 and in privately negotiated transactions. Such announcement did not stipulate a maximum number of shares that may be purchased under this stock repurchase program.
Item 3. Defaults upon Senior Securities.
     None.
Item 4. Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders.
     None.
Item 5. Other Information.
     None.

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Item 6. Exhibits.
     
Exhibit No.   Description
 
   
Exhibit 31.1
  Certification of Chief Executive Officer
 
   
Exhibit 31.2
  Certification of Chief Financial Officer
 
   
Exhibit 32.1
  Statement of Chief Executive Officer pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350 of Title 18 of the United States Code
 
   
Exhibit 32.2
  Statement of Chief Financial Officer pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350 of Title 18 of the United States Code

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Signatures
     Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.
         
  DONEGAL GROUP INC.
 
 
November 6, 2008  By:   /s/ Donald H. Nikolaus    
    Donald H. Nikolaus, President   
    and Chief Executive Officer   
 
     
November 6, 2008  By:   /s/ Jeffrey D. Miller    
    Jeffrey D. Miller, Senior Vice President   
    and Chief Financial Officer   
 

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