Form 10-Q
Table of Contents

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

 


FORM 10-Q

 


QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d)

OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the Quarterly Period Ended September 30, 2007

Commission file number: 001-32883

 


Darwin Professional Underwriters, Inc.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 


 

Delaware   03-0510450

(State or other jurisdiction of

incorporation or organization)

 

(I.R.S. Employer

Identification No.)

9 Farm Springs Road

Farmington, Connecticut 06032

(Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)

(860) 284-1300

(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

 


Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.    Yes  x    No  ¨

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, or a non-accelerated filer. See definition of “accelerated filer and large accelerated filer” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act (Check one):

Large accelerated filer  ¨    Accelerated filer  x    Non-accelerated filer   ¨

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act).    Yes  ¨    No  x

The number of shares of the Registrant’s Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share, outstanding at November 5, 2007 was 17,025,501 shares.

 



Table of Contents

Darwin Professional Underwriters, Inc.

Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q

TABLE OF CONTENTS

 

          Page
Part I – FINANCIAL INFORMATION

Item 1.

   Financial Statements:   
   Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets (Unaudited)– September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006    3
   Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations (Unaudited) – Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2007 and 2006    4
   Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows (Unaudited) – Nine Months Ended September 30, 2007 and 2006    5
   Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited)    6

Item 2.

   Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations    18

Item 3.

   Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosure About Market Risk    39

Item 4.

   Controls and Procedures    40
Part II – OTHER INFORMATION

Item 1.

   Legal Proceedings    40

Item 1a.

   Risk Factors    41

Item 2.

   Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds    41

Item 3.

   Defaults Upon Senior Securities    41

Item 4.

   Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders    41

Item 5.

   Other Information    41

Item 6.

   Exhibits    41
   SIGNATURES    42
   CERTIFICATIONS    43

 

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Table of Contents

Part I. Financial Information

Item 1. Financial Statements

DARWIN PROFESSIONAL UNDERWRITERS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets

September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006

(Unaudited)

(Dollars in thousands, except per share amounts)

 

    

September 30,

2007

  

December 31,

2006

ASSETS:

     

Available for sale securities, at fair value:

     

Equity securities (cost: 2007, $4,000)

   $ 3,936    $ —  

Fixed maturity securities (amortized cost: 2007, $447,265; 2006, $328,201)

     448,130      329,846

Short-term investments, at cost which approximates fair value

     70,059      69,537
             

Total investments

     522,125      399,383
             

Cash

     6,429      26,873

Premiums receivable (net of allowance for doubtful accounts of $75 as of September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006)

     24,760      31,094

Reinsurance recoverable on paid and unpaid losses

     126,448      96,371

Ceded unearned reinsurance premiums

     42,870      44,742

Deferred insurance acquisition costs

     14,064      12,724

Property and equipment at cost, less accumulated depreciation

     1,839      1,895

Intangible assets

     7,306      7,306

Net deferred income tax asset

     14,367      8,720

Other assets

     13,362      6,156
             

Total assets

   $ 773,570    $ 635,264
             

LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY:

     

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves

   $ 357,016    $ 263,549

Unearned premium reserves

     138,670      123,796

Reinsurance payable

     18,730      21,385

Current income taxes payable

     6,399      865

Accrued expenses and other liabilities

     12,952      7,819
             

Total liabilities

     533,767      417,414

Commitments and contingencies (Note 14)

     

Stockholders’ equity:

     

Common stock; $0.01 par value; authorized 50,000,000 shares; issued and outstanding 17,025,501 shares at September 30, 2007 and 17,047,222 shares at December 31, 2006.

     170      170

Additional paid-in capital

     204,234      203,095

Retained earnings

     34,881      13,548

Accumulated other comprehensive income

     518      1,037
             

Total stockholders’ equity

     239,803      217,850
             

Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity

   $ 773,570    $ 635,264
             

See accompanying notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.

 

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DARWIN PROFESSIONAL UNDERWRITERS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations

Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2007 and 2006

(Unaudited)

(Dollars in thousands, except per share amounts)

 

     Three Months Ended
September 30,
    Nine Months Ended
September 30,
 
     2007     2006     2007     2006  

Revenues:

        

Net premiums earned

   $ 45,453     $ 34,971     $ 131,828     $ 94,229  

Net investment income

     5,812       4,512       16,492       11,635  

Net realized investment gains (losses)

     (43 )     (11 )     (26 )     (24 )
                                

Total revenues

     51,222       39,472       148,294       105,840  
                                

Costs and expenses:

        

Losses and loss adjustment expenses

     25,965       24,205       76,688       65,236  

Commissions and brokerage expenses

     5,598       4,166       17,107       10,154  

Other underwriting, acquisition and operating expenses

     7,241       5,305       20,486       15,417  

Other expenses

     1,412       42       4,226       320  
                                

Total costs and expenses

     40,216       33,718       118,507       91,127  
                                

Earnings before income taxes

     11,006       5,754       29,787       14,713  
                                

Income tax expense

     2,645       1,748       8,454       4,542  
                                

Net earnings

   $ 8,361     $ 4,006     $ 21,333     $ 10,171  
                                

Basic earnings per share:

        

Net earnings per share

   $ 0.51     $ 0.25     $ 1.31     $ 1.01  
                                

Weighted average shares outstanding

     16,557,816       15,877,995       16,289,911       7,657,449  
                                

Diluted earnings per share:

        

Net earnings per share

   $ 0.49     $ 0.23     $ 1.25     $ 0.61  
                                

Weighted average shares outstanding

     17,060,291       17,049,558       17,072,500       16,693,695  
                                

See accompanying notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.

 

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Table of Contents

DARWIN PROFESSIONAL UNDERWRITERS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows

For the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2007 and 2006

(Unaudited)

(Dollars in thousands)

 

     Nine Months Ended
September 30,
 
     2007     2006  

Cash flows provided by (used for) operating activities:

    

Net earnings

   $ 21,333     $ 10,171  

Adjustments to reconcile net earnings to net cash provided by (used for) operating activities:

    

Deferred insurance acquisition costs

     (21,355 )     (14,538 )

Amortization of insurance acquisition costs

     20,015       10,115  

Deferred income taxes

     (5,321 )     (2,366 )

Depreciation

     524       430  

Net realized investment (gains) losses

     26       24  

Amortization of investment discounts and premiums

     (2,096 )     (3,012 )

Stock-based compensation expense

     822       568  

Change in:

    

Premiums receivable

     6,334       (135 )

Reinsurance recoverable on paid and unpaid losses

     (30,077 )     (32,961 )

Ceded unearned reinsurance premiums

     1,872       (10,849 )

Current income taxes payable

     5,534       3,271  

Other assets

     (6,955 )     (3,894 )

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves

     93,467       91,841  

Unearned premium reserves

     14,874       31,755  

Reinsurance payable

     (2,655 )     10,669  

Accrued expenses and other liabilities

     5,133       (1,735 )
                

Net cash provided by (used for) operating activities

     101,475       89,354  

Cash flows provided by (used for) investing activities:

    

Proceeds from sales of available-for-sale securities

     76,533       485  

Maturities of available-for-sale securities

     28,316       21,801  

Purchases of available-for-sale securities

     (228,732 )     (204,898 )

Net (purchases) sales of short-term investments

     2,366       110,156  

Due from/to brokers for unsettled trades

     (250 )     721  

Purchases of fixed assets

     (468 )     (455 )

Acquisition of Insurance Company, net of cash acquired

     —         (214 )
                

Net cash provided by (used for) investing activities

     (122,235 )     (72,404 )

Cash flows provided by (used for) financing activities:

    

Proceeds from issuance of common stock

     —         96,000  

Issuance costs

     —         (9,712 )

Redemption of Series A Preferred Stock

     —         (2,297 )

Redemption of Series C Preferred Stock

     —         (2,465 )

Redemption of Series B Convertible Preferred Stock

     —         (81,526 )

Tax benefit on stock compensation plans

     292       302  

Issuance of common stock – employee stock options

     24       —    
                

Net cash provided by (used for) financing activities

     316       302  

Net increase (decrease) in cash

     (20,444 )     17,252  

Cash, beginning of period

     26,873       10,255  
                

Cash, end of period

   $ 6,429     $ 27,507  
                

Supplemental disclosures of cash flow information:

    

Cash paid for federal and state income taxes

   $ 7,949     $ 3,332  

See accompanying notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.

 

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DARWIN PROFESSIONAL UNDERWRITERS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements

(Unaudited)

(Dollars in thousands, except per share amounts)

(1) Organization and Basis of Presentation

(a) Organization

Darwin Professional Underwriters, Inc. (DPUI), located in Farmington, Connecticut, is a majority-owned publicly-traded insurance underwriting subsidiary of Alleghany Insurance Holdings, LLC (AIHL), which is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Alleghany Corporation (Alleghany). On May 19, 2006, DPUI completed its initial public offering of its common stock (see Note 6).

DPUI was formed in March 2003 as an underwriting manager for certain insurance company subsidiaries of Alleghany, a publicly traded company, pending the establishment or acquisition of separate insurance companies for the DPUI business. Effective September 1, 2003, DPUI entered into underwriting management agreements with three wholly-owned subsidiaries of Alleghany, Capitol Indemnity Corporation, Capitol Specialty Insurance Corporation, and Platte River Insurance Company (collectively, the Capitol Companies), to underwrite and administer specialty liability insurance business. DPUI’s specialty liability insurance business consists primarily of directors and officers liability (D&O), errors and omissions liability (E&O), medical malpractice liability insurance, and beginning in the third quarter of 2007, general liability.

On February 3, 2004, Darwin Group, Inc. (Darwin Group), a wholly-owned subsidiary of AIHL, was formed as an insurance holding company for the purpose of acquiring Darwin National Assurance Company (DNA). DNA was acquired on May 3, 2004 as a wholly-owned subsidiary of Darwin Group. As of October 31, 2007, DNA is licensed to write property and casualty insurance on an admitted basis in 50 jurisdictions (including the District of Columbia) and is eligible to operate on an excess and surplus lines basis in one additional state (Arkansas). On May 2, 2005, DNA acquired Darwin Select Insurance Company (Darwin Select), as a wholly-owned insurance company subsidiary. As of October 31, 2007, Darwin Select is licensed to write property and casualty insurance on an admitted basis in Arkansas (its state of domicile) and is eligible to operate on an excess and surplus lines basis in 48 additional states. Effective as of January 1, 2006, Darwin Group was contributed by Alleghany to DPUI (see Note 1(b)).

The Capitol Companies are wholly-owned subsidiaries of AIHL and operate collectively in 50 states and the District of Columbia. In addition to the business produced by DPUI and issued on policies of the Capitol Companies, the Capitol Companies have significant independent operations that are not included in these condensed consolidated financial statements. Alleghany acquired ownership of the Capitol Companies in January 2002. Prior to the formation of DPUI as an underwriting manager to underwrite professional liability coverages for the Capitol Companies in the D&O, E&O and medical malpractice lines, neither the Capitol Companies nor Alleghany wrote any of these lines of business.

DNA, Darwin Select and the Capitol Companies (in respect of the business produced by DPUI and issued on polices of the Capitol Companies) receive underwriting, claims, management, and administrative services from DPUI.

DPUI’s products are marketed through independent producers located throughout the United States.

(b) Reorganization

Effective January 1, 2006, DPUI became the parent of Darwin Group and its subsidiaries, DNA and Darwin Select and, in connection therewith, DPUI issued to AIHL shares of Series B Convertible Preferred Stock with an aggregate liquidation preference of $197,178, equal to the book value of Darwin Group on December 31, 2005, in exchange for all of the outstanding common stock of Darwin Group held by AIHL. In addition, AIHL exchanged its 6,600,000 shares of common stock of DPUI, representing 80% of the issued and outstanding shares of DPUI, for 9,560 additional shares of Series A Preferred Stock of DPUI having an additional aggregate liquidation preference of $20 per share, representing 80% of the book value of DPUI on December 31, 2005. As a result of the reorganization, the only shares of common stock outstanding as of January 1, 2006 to May 19, 2006 were unvested restricted shares.

Collectively these operations are referred to as “Darwin” or the “Company.”

 

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DARWIN PROFESSIONAL UNDERWRITERS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements

(Unaudited)

(Dollars in thousands, except per share amounts)

 

(c) Basis of Presentation

The accompanying unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements of Darwin have been prepared in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) for interim financial information. This report should be read in conjunction with the Annual Report of Darwin on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2006. The condensed consolidated financial statements at September 30, 2007 are unaudited, but reflect all adjustments (consisting of normal recurring adjustments and the elimination of intercompany transactions and balances) which, in the opinion of management, are necessary to a fair statement of the results of the interim periods covered thereby. Operating results for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007 are not necessarily indicative of the results that may be expected for the year ending December 31, 2007 or any other future period. The condensed consolidated balance sheet has been derived from the December 31, 2006 audited consolidated financial statements, but does not include all of the information disclosures required by GAAP. GAAP requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the amounts of assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reported periods. Actual results could differ significantly from these estimates.

On May 3, 2006, the Company’s Board of Directors approved a 33-for-two stock split of the Company’s shares of common stock, to be effected on the effective date of the Company’s registration statement on Form S-1 in connection with its initial public offering, which occurred on May 19, 2006. In addition, the par value of the common stock was adjusted to $0.01 per common share from $0.10 per common share. The resulting increase in common stock was offset by a decrease in additional paid-in capital.

All common stock and per share data included in these unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements, and the exchange ratios for the Series B Convertible Preferred Stock, have been retroactively adjusted to reflect the 33-for-two stock split and the change in par value for all periods presented.

Certain prior year amounts have been reclassified to conform to the 2007 presentation.

(2) New Accounting Standards

In September 2005, the Accounting Standards Executive Committee issued Statement of Position 05-1, Accounting by Insurance Enterprises for Deferred Acquisition Costs in Connection with Modifications or Exchanges of Insurance Contracts (SOP 05-1). SOP 05-1 provides guidance on accounting by insurance enterprises for deferred acquisition costs on internal replacements of insurance and investment contracts other than those specifically described in SFAS No. 97, Accounting and Reporting by Insurance Enterprises for Certain Long-Duration Contracts and for Realized Gains and Losses from the Sale of Investments. SOP 05-1 defines an internal replacement as a modification in product benefits, features, rights, or coverages that occurs by the exchange of a contract for a new contract, or by amendment, endorsement, or rider to a contract, or by the election of a feature of coverage within a contract. Darwin adopted SOP 05-01 as of January 1, 2007, and the implementation did not have a material impact on the Company’s operations or financial condition.

In March 2006, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) issued Statement No. 155 (SFAS No. 155), Accounting for Certain Hybrid Instruments, an amendment to FASB Statement No. 133 and 140. This Statement permits fair value re-measurement for any hybrid financial instrument that contains an embedded derivative that otherwise would require bifurcation, and establishes a requirement to evaluate interests in securitized financial assets to identify interests that are freestanding derivatives or that are hybrid financial instruments that contain an embedded derivative requiring bifurcation. This Statement is effective for all financial instruments acquired or issued after the beginning of an entity’s first fiscal year that begins after September 15, 2006. Darwin adopted the provisions of this Statement as of January 1, 2007, and the implementation did not have a material impact on the Company’s results of operations or financial condition.

In July 2006, FASB issued Interpretation No. 48, Accounting for Uncertainty in Income Taxes. The Interpretation clarifies the accounting for income taxes recognized in an enterprise’s financial statements in accordance with FASB Statement No. 109, Accounting for Income Taxes. The Interpretation prescribes a recognition threshold and measurement attribute for the financial statement recognition and measurement of a tax position taken or expected to be taken in a tax return. This Interpretation also provides guidance on de-recognition, classification, interest and penalties, accounting in interim periods, disclosure and transition. Darwin adopted the provisions of this Interpretation as of January 1, 2007, and the implementation did not have a material impact on the Company’s results of operations or financial condition.

 

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DARWIN PROFESSIONAL UNDERWRITERS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements

(Unaudited)

(Dollars in thousands, except per share amounts)

 

In September 2006, FASB issued Statement No. 157, Fair Value Measurements. This Statement provides guidance for using fair value to measure assets and liabilities. The Statement does not expand the use of fair value in any new circumstances. The Statement is effective for financial statements prepared for fiscal years beginning after November 15, 2007, and interim periods within those fiscal years. Darwin does not anticipate that this Statement will have a material impact on the Company’s results of operations or financial condition.

In February 2007, FASB Statement No. 159, The Fair Value Option for Financial Assets and Financial Liabilities—Including an amendment of FASB Statement No. 115, was issued. This Statement permits entities to choose to measure many financial instruments and certain other items at fair value, at specified election dates, with unrealized gains and losses reported in earnings at each subsequent reporting date. This Statement is effective as of the beginning of an entity’s first fiscal year that begins after November 15, 2007. Early adoption is permitted as of the beginning of a fiscal year that begins on or before November 15, 2007, provided the entity also elects to apply the provisions of FASB Statement No. 157, Fair Value Measurements. Darwin does not anticipate that this Statement will have a material impact on the Company’s results of operations or financial condition.

(3) Investments

During the third quarter of 2007, Darwin purchased certain perpetual preferred stocks which are classified as equity securities. The Company classifies equity securities as available for sale and records the securities at fair value. Fair value of equity securities is determined from quoted market prices. Unrealized gains and losses during the year, net of the related tax effect, are excluded from earnings and reflected in other comprehensive income (loss) and the cumulative effect is reported as a separate component of stockholders’ equity until realized.

 

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DARWIN PROFESSIONAL UNDERWRITERS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements

(Unaudited)

(Dollars in thousands, except per share amounts)

 

(4) Reinsurance

Reinsurance Effect on Operations

Net premiums written, net premiums earned, and net losses and loss adjustment expenses (LAE) incurred including reinsurance activity for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 are as follows:

 

     Three Months Ended
September 30,
    Nine Months Ended
September 30,
 
     2007     2006     2007     2006  

Net Premiums Written:

        

Direct premiums written

   $ 60,735     $ 50,593     $ 175,935     $ 131,788  

Assumed premiums written - Capitol Companies

     7,557       14,834       31,705       50,874  

Assumed premiums written

     1,014       —         1,826       713  

Ceded premiums written

     (18,706 )     (23,500 )     (60,892 )     (68,240 )
                                

Net premiums written

   $ 50,600     $ 41,927     $ 148,574     $ 115,135  
                                

Net Premiums Earned:

        

Direct premiums earned

   $ 54,109     $ 30,748     $ 152,537     $ 62,119  

Assumed premiums earned - Capitol Companies

     12,035       24,805       41,273       89,242  

Assumed premiums earned

     414       178       782       258  

Ceded premiums earned

     (21,105 )     (20,760 )     (62,764 )     (57,390 )
                                

Net premiums earned

   $ 45,453     $ 34,971     $ 131,828     $ 94,229  
                                

Net Losses and LAE Incurred:

        

Direct losses and LAE incurred

   $ 34,565     $ 21,386     $ 95,772     $ 41,170  

Assumed losses and LAE incurred - Capitol Companies

     3,181       14,849       13,984       56,948  

Assumed losses and LAE incurred - other

     259       119       482       172  

Ceded losses and LAE incurred

     (12,040 )     (12,149 )     (33,550 )     (33,054 )
                                

Net losses and LAE incurred

   $ 25,965     $ 24,205     $ 76,688     $ 65,236  
                                

The net premiums written table above presents our gross premiums written on the policies of the Capitol Companies (Assumed premiums written — Capitol Companies) as well as gross premiums written directly and assumed on the policies of DNA and Darwin Select (Direct and assumed premiums written). Since each of our insurance company subsidiaries obtained its own A.M. Best rating of “A—” (Excellent) in November 2005, whenever possible, DPUI has written coverage on policies issued by DNA or Darwin Select. However, our insurance company subsidiaries are not currently licensed (in the case of our admitted carrier DNA) or eligible to write business on a surplus lines basis (in the case of Darwin Select) in all U.S. jurisdictions, and DNA does not yet have in place all rate and form filings required to write insurance business in every jurisdiction where it is licensed. In addition, the Capitol Companies have A.M. Best ratings of “A” (Excellent), and we believe that insureds in certain classes of our business (primarily public D&O) require policies issued by an insurer with an A.M. Best rating of “A” (Excellent). Consequently, although we expect to write the majority of our future business on policies of our insurance company subsidiaries, we continue to depend upon the Capitol Companies to write policies for a portion of the business produced by DPUI. For the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2007, we wrote $7.6 million and $31.7 million, respectively, of gross premiums through our arrangement with the Capitol Companies, representing 11.0% and 15.1%, respectively, of the total gross premiums produced by DPUI. For the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2006, we wrote $14.8 million and $50.9 million, respectively, of gross premiums through our arrangement with the Capitol Companies, representing 22.6% and 27.8%, respectively, of the total gross premiums produced by DPUI.

As discussed in the 2006 Form 10-K, Darwin reinsures all of its lines of business through a program consisting primarily of excess of loss reinsurance treaties. In conjunction with the renewal of the major reinsurance treaties, effective April 1,

 

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DARWIN PROFESSIONAL UNDERWRITERS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements

(Unaudited)

(Dollars in thousands, except per share amounts)

 

2007, Darwin restructured its reinsurance program. For the medical malpractice treaty, the Company eliminated the variable-rated aspect of our reinsurance program, standardized the retention to $1 million for all classes and secured a $10 million in excess of $1 million cessions treaty. Darwin was also able to increase the ceding commission by 1.5% to 24%, add the clinical trials business as a covered class of business, and maintain its 15% participation in this treaty. For the professional lines and managed care E&O treaties, the program was also restructured effective April 1, 2007, with Darwin entering into a tiered excess of loss program with varying coverage by lines and varying ceding commission rates. The first tier, for all lines covered by these treaties (except for commercial, financial institutions and healthcare D&O and financial institutions and managed care E&O), is a $1 million excess of $1 million, variable rated treaty with a loss cap equal to 300% of ceded premium in which Darwin’s participation is 25%. The second tier, which covers all classes of professional and managed care lines covered by the treaties, is a $3 million excess of $2 million, flat rated excess cession treaty with a 26% ceding commission and a loss cap equal to 250% of ceded premium in which Darwin’s participation is 25%. The Company has a third tier of $5 million in excess of $5 million for all classes covered under the professional lines and managed care treaties (except for $10 million in excess of $5 million for director-only liability (A-side D&O), private and not for profit D&O, and primary insurance agents E&O), that is a flat rated excess cession with a 25% ceding commission and a loss cap equal to 250% of ceded premium in which Darwin’s participation is 15%. In addition, Darwin has a fourth tier which is a renewal of the managed care E&O treaty with a layer of $10 million in excess of $10 million, with expanded coverage to provide an additional $5 million in excess of $15 million for A-side D&O capability in which Darwin’s participation is 10% and the maximum recoverable is $50 million. Darwin did not renew the i-bind quota share treaty which expired March 31, 2007. The new general liability line, beginning in the third quarter of 2007, is included under the professional lines treaty second and third tiers.

Ceded premiums written were reduced for the three months ended September 30, 2007 by $754 due to a favorable adjustment of the 2004 through 2006 accident year loss results and were reduced for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 by $4,952 also due to the favorable adjustments for 2003 through 2006 accident year loss results. The decrease in our estimate of expected ultimate losses incurred for the 2003 through 2006 accident years reduced our estimated ultimate ceded premium cost on certain of our variable rated reinsurance contracts in-force during the 2003 through 2006 accident years.

In September 2006, the Company established three reinsurance security trusts with sufficient assets to adequately collateralize the reinsurance obligations to the Capitol Companies for the amounts assumed by Darwin. The trust balances are adjusted on a quarterly basis to ensure that the assets held in trust are sufficient to meet Darwin’s obligations to the Capitol Companies under the reinsurance agreements between the Capitol Companies and Darwin. The investments held in the trusts had a market value of $224,334 as of September 30, 2007 and are included in total investments on the Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets.

 

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DARWIN PROFESSIONAL UNDERWRITERS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements

(Unaudited)

(Dollars in thousands, except per share amounts)

 

(5) Loss and LAE Reserves

The following table provides a reconciliation of the beginning and ending loss and LAE reserves, net of reinsurance, as shown in the Company’s condensed consolidated financial statements for the periods indicated:

 

     Three Months Ended
September 30,
    Nine Months Ended
September 30,
 
     2007     2006     2007     2006  

Gross reserves balance at beginning of period

   $ 322,334     $ 195,914     $ 263,549     $ 138,404  

Less reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses

     (114,240 )     (72,047 )     (96,258 )     (51,229 )
                                

Net reserves balance at beginning of period

     208,094       123,867       167,291       87,175  

Incurred losses and LAE, net of reinsurance, related to:

        

Current period

     29,787       24,352       84,359       65,724  

Prior periods

     (3,822 )     (147 )     (7,671 )     (488 )
                                

Total loss and LAE incurred

     25,965       24,205       76,688       65,236  
                                

Paid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance, related to:

        

Current period

     1,619       607       3,062       1,463  

Prior periods

     1,419       1,684       9,896       5,167  
                                

Total paid losses and LAE

     3,038       2,291       12,958       6,630  
                                

Net reserve balance at September 30,

     231,021       145,781       231,021       145,781  

Plus reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses

     125,995       84,149       125,995       84,149  
                                

Gross reserves balance at September 30,

   $ 357,016     $ 229,930     $ 357,016     $ 229,930  
                                

Darwin continually reviews its loss and LAE reserves and the related reinsurance recoverables. Differences between estimates and ultimate payments are reflected in expense for the period in which the estimates are changed. The actuarial estimates are based on industry claim experience and our own experience and consider current claim trends and premium volume, as well as social and economic conditions. While Darwin has recorded its best estimate of loss and LAE reserves as of September 30, 2007 and 2006, and December 31, 2006, it is possible these estimates may materially change in the future.

The increase in gross and net loss and LAE reserves for the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2007 compared to the same periods in 2006 primarily reflects increased net premiums earned for all lines of business and limited paid loss activity for the current and prior accident years. For the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007, these increases are offset by a reduction in prior year losses and LAE incurred of $3,822 and $7,671, respectively, due to favorable development on net loss and LAE reserves recorded for accident years 2003 through 2006. For 2007, loss and LAE emergence on the 2003 through 2006 accident years has been more favorable than anticipated when the original gross and net loss reserves were established. For the three and nine months ended September 30, 2006, the Company experienced net favorable development on prior year incurred losses and LAE of $147 related to the 2004 accident year and $488 related to the 2003 and 2004 accident years, respectively.

(6) Credit Facility

On March 23, 2007, Darwin entered into a three-year secured credit agreement with a bank syndicate (Credit Agreement), which provides commitments for revolving credit loans in an aggregate principal amount of up to $25,000. The loan is secured by the common stock of Darwin Group. Borrowing under the Credit Agreement is intended to be used for general corporate purposes and for strategic merger and acquisition purposes. The cost of funds drawn down would be at an annual interest rate of LIBOR plus 112.5 basis points. The Credit Agreement also has a commitment fee of 0.25% per annum for any unused amount of the aggregate principal amount. The Credit Agreement contains certain covenants requiring DPUI to maintain a 2.0 debt interest coverage ratio, a maximum ratio of net premiums written to surplus of 2.0 to 1.0, a covenant limiting DPUI’s debt to total capital ratio to 35%, and a covenant prohibiting the payment of dividends on its equity securities. Darwin must also have a minimum net worth equal to 80% of year end December 31, 2006 GAAP net worth plus

 

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DARWIN PROFESSIONAL UNDERWRITERS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements

(Unaudited)

(Dollars in thousands, except per share amounts)

 

an amount equal to 50% of subsequent earned profits. At September 30, 2007, Darwin was in full compliance with the Credit Agreement’s requirements and restrictions. There were no borrowings under the Credit Agreement as of September 30, 2007.

(7) Capital Stock

The Company’s registration statement filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in connection with an initial public offering of common stock was declared effective on May 18, 2006 for the issuance of 5,217,391 shares of common stock at an initial offering price of $16.00 per share. Subsequently, the underwriters of the initial public offering exercised their over-allotment option in which an additional 782,609 shares of common stock were issued at the $16.00 initial public offering price. Gross proceeds from the sale of the 6,000,000 shares of common stock were $96,000. Total costs associated with the initial public offering included $6,720 of underwriting costs and $2,992 of offering expenses. Net proceeds from the offering, including the over-allotment option, after deducting underwriting costs and offering expenses were $86,288.

The net proceeds from the offering were used to redeem all of the shares of Series A Preferred Stock at the aggregate liquidation preference of $2,297 and all of the shares of Series C Convertible Preferred Stock at the aggregate liquidation preference of $2,465. The remaining proceeds of $81,526 were used to redeem a portion of the shares of Series B Convertible Preferred Stock at a redemption price per share, on an as-converted basis, equal to the public offering price less underwriting costs ($14.88 per share) or 5,478,904 shares of common stock on an as-converted basis. The remaining outstanding shares of the Series B Convertible Preferred Stock were converted into 9,371,096 shares of common stock. As a result of the foregoing, the net proceeds of the offering were used to reduce Alleghany’s ownership in the Company to approximately 55%.

The Company filed a shelf registration statement on Form S-3 with the SEC which became effective August 20, 2007. The Form S-3 registered for possible future sale up to 9,371,096 shares of Darwin common stock (equal to approximately 55% of the total issued and outstanding), all of which are currently owned by AIHL, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Alleghany. The filing was in response to AIHL’s exercise of its demand registration right under the Registration Rights Agreement dated May 18, 2006. In the demand registration notice, AIHL advised that it had no present plan to sell any of its Darwin common stock, but that it was exercising its registration right in order to provide flexibility in the event that it decides to sell some or all of its shares in the future. The filing of the shelf registration does not obligate AIHL to sell any shares, and Darwin would not receive any proceeds from a sale of shares by AIHL.

(8) Share-Based Compensation

The Company has four share-based payment plans for employees and non-employee directors: the 2003 Restricted Stock Plan (as amended November 2005), the 2006 Stock Incentive Plan, the 2006 Employees’ Restricted Stock Plan and the 2006 Stock and Unit Plan for Non-employee Directors (Directors Plan), which are described below.

The Company has recorded total share-based compensation expense of $466 and $822 for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007, respectively, and $381 and $568 for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2006, respectively. During the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007, a deferred tax benefit of $186 and $328, respectively, related to the stock-based compensation expense was recorded. The tax benefit for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2006 was $152 and $227, respectively.

There were no grants made under the 2003 Restricted Stock Plan or the 2006 Employees’ Restricted Stock Plan in the nine months ended September 30, 2007. The 2003 Restricted Stock Plan had 670,313 shares vest and forfeitures of 61,875 shares in the period. The 2006 Employee Restricted Stock plan had forfeitures of 625 shares in the period.

 

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DARWIN PROFESSIONAL UNDERWRITERS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements

(Unaudited)

(Dollars in thousands, except per share amounts)

 

Under the Darwin 2006 Stock Incentive Plan, the activity for the period and related outstanding options and shares at September 30, 2007 are as follows:

 

     Nine Months Ended September 30, 2007
     Stock Options    Restricted Stock
     Shares     Weighted-Average
Exercise Price
   Shares     Weighted-Average
Vesting Value

Outstanding at beginning of year

   164,006     $ 16.00    4,816     $ 22.69

Granted

   100,019     $ 25.37    40,382     $ 25.37

Options exercised or restricted stock vested

   (1,500 )   $ 16.00    —         —  

Forfeited

   (8,317 )   $ 21.27    (1,903 )   $ 25.30
                 

Outstanding at end of period

   254,208     $ 19.51    43,295     $ 25.07
                 

On February 23, 2007 and May 4, 2007, the Company granted, under the terms of the 2006 Stock Incentive Plan, non-qualified stock options and restricted stock. The options are exercisable for ten years from the date of grant and vest at an annual rate of 25% on each anniversary of the grant date, provided that the option holder is still employed by DPUI. For the two grants, the fair values of the options granted in February and May 2007 were estimated at $10.22 and $10.52, per share, respectively, on the date of the grant using the Black-Scholes option pricing model. The expected term is based on the vesting period “simplified” method or 6.25 years. The stock price volatility for the awards was 30.4%, an estimate based on the average stock price volatility data for the expected term for similar property and casualty companies. The risk-free interest rate assumption for the grants in February and May 2007 was based on the 6.25 year U.S. Treasury note for the expected term, which was 4.72% and 4.60%, respectively. The Company does not anticipate paying dividends during the expected term. The February and May 2007 restricted share grants were at a fair market value of $25.30 and $26.21 per share, respectively, the average of the high and low market price on the respective grant dates. The terms for most of the awards provide for vesting over a four-year period from the date of grant, with 50% of the restricted shares vesting on the third anniversary of the date of grant and the remaining 50% of the restricted shares vesting on the fourth anniversary of the date of grant. In May 2007, 40,102 options vested with a weighted average exercise price of $16.00. As of September 30, 2007, the number of non-vested options outstanding was 215,606.

The Directors Plan share unit and restricted stock activity for the first nine months of 2007 and outstanding share units and restricted stock as of September 30, 2007 are as follows:

 

     Nine Months Ended September 30, 2007
     Share Units    Restricted Stock
     Shares     Weighted-Average
Share Unit Value
   Shares     Vesting
Value

Outstanding at beginning of year

   16,719     $ 16.00    12,500     $ 16.00

Granted

   11,207     $ 25.89    —         —  

Shares distributed in payment of units

   (1,700 )   $ 16.00    —         —  

Restricted stock vested

   —         —      (11,600 )   $ 16.00

Forfeited

   (956 )   $ 16.00    (900 )   $ 16.00
                 

Outstanding at end of period

   26,970     $ 20.11    —       $ 16.00
                 

As of September 30, 2007, 5,982 outstanding share units were unearned.

 

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DARWIN PROFESSIONAL UNDERWRITERS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements

(Unaudited)

(Dollars in thousands, except per share amounts)

 

(9) Earnings Per Share

The following table sets forth the computation of basic and diluted earnings per share:

 

     Three Months Ended
September 30,
   Nine Months Ended
September 30,
 
     2007    2006    2007    2006  

Net earnings

   $ 8,361    $ 4,006    $ 21,333    $ 10,171  

Less dividend declared and paid on Series B Convertible Preferred Stock

     —        —        —        (2,465 )
                             

Net earnings-numerator for basic earning per share

     8,361      4,006      21,333      7,706  
                             

Add dividend declared and paid on Series B Convertible Preferred Stock

     —        —        —        2,465  
                             

Net earnings-numerator for diluted earning per share

   $ 8,361    $ 4,006    $ 21,333    $ 10,171  
                             

Weighted average common shares outstanding- denominator for basic earnings per share

     16,557,816      15,877,995      16,289,911      7,657,449  
                             

Effect of dilutive securities:

           

Series B Convertible Preferred Stock

     —        —        —        7,615,385  

Restricted stock

     467,031      1,164,601      748,736      1,417,469  

Options

     16,223      —        17,567      —    

Share units

     19,221      6,962      16,286      3,392  
                             

Weighted average common shares outstanding-denominator for dilutive earnings per share

     17,060,291      17,049,558      17,072,500      16,693,695  
                             

Basic earnings per share

   $ 0.51    $ 0.25    $ 1.31    $ 1.01  
                             

Dilutive earnings per share

   $ 0.49    $ 0.23    $ 1.25    $ 0.61  
                             

The diluted weighted average common shares outstanding exclude stock options with exercise prices greater that the average market price of Company’s common stock during the period because their inclusion would be anti-dilutive. The number of such anti-dilutive stock options for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007 were 95,431 and 77,936, respectively, and 10,682 and 61,160 for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2006, respectively.

For the nine months ended September 30, 2006, net income available for common stockholders used in the calculation of basic earnings per share reflects a reduction for $2,465 in dividends declared and paid in Series C Preferred Stock. The dividend has been added back for the nine months ended September 30, 2006 calculation of diluted earnings per share.

The diluted earnings per share calculation for the nine months ended September 30, 2006 assumes the conversion of the Series B Convertible Preferred Stock into 14,850,000 shares of common stock for the period from January 1, 2006 to May 19, 2006, the date of completion of the Company’s initial public offering, and it reflects the actual shares outstanding thereafter.

 

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DARWIN PROFESSIONAL UNDERWRITERS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements

(Unaudited)

(Dollars in thousands, except per share amounts)

 

(10) Comprehensive Income

The Company’s total comprehensive income was as follows:

 

     Three Months Ended
September 30,
   Nine Months Ended
September 30,
     2007     2006    2007     2006

Net earnings

   $ 8,361     $ 4,006    $ 21,333     $ 10,171

Other comprehensive income (loss):

         

Change in unrealized gains (losses) on investments, net of tax expense (benefit)

     3,344       3,862      (502 )     1,117

Reclassification adjustment for (gain) losses included in income, net of tax expense (benefit)

     (6 )     7      (17 )     16
                             

Unrealized gains (losses) on investment

     3,338       3,869      (519 )     1,133
                             

Total comprehensive income

   $ 11,699     $ 7,875    $ 20,814     $ 11,304
                             

The tax expense (benefit) for the unrealized gains (losses) on investments for the three months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 was $1,938 and $2,263, respectively, and for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 was $(317) and $656, respectively. The tax expense (benefit) for the reclassification adjustment for gains (losses) for the three months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 was $3 and $(4), respectively, and for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 was $9 and $(8), respectively.

(11) Income Taxes

Income tax expense for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 have been computed using estimated effective tax rates. These rates are revised, if necessary, at the end of each successive interim period to reflect the current estimates of the annual effective tax rates. For the three months ended September 30, 2007, the Company recorded a tax expense of $2,645, or a consolidated tax rate of 24.0%, compared to a tax expense of $1,748, or a consolidated tax rate of 30.4%, for the three months ended September 30, 2006. For the nine months ended September 30, 2007, the Company recorded a tax expense of $8,454, or a consolidated tax rate of 28.4%, compared to a tax expense of $4,542, or a consolidated tax rate of 30.9%, for the nine months ended September 30, 2006. The lower consolidated tax rates for the three and nine month periods in 2007 compared to 2006 were primarily attributable to an increase in investment income received on tax-exempt municipal securities and a true up for the 2006 income tax provision to the income tax return filed in the third quarter of 2007. This true up resulted primarily from our estimated 2006 state income tax rate being higher than actual.

Up until the time of the completion of its initial public offering on May 19, 2006, Darwin filed a consolidated federal income tax return with its ultimate parent under a tax sharing agreement, The tax sharing agreement requires Darwin to retain tax records, to cooperate with Alleghany in tax matters, and to bear its share of costs of tax return preparation, tax audits and contests, and interest and penalties related to Darwin’s tax liabilities reflected in the Alleghany consolidated income tax return. Also, provided Darwin performed every obligation under the tax sharing agreement, Alleghany agreed to indemnify the Company for any federal income taxes imposed on the Alleghany consolidated group. Darwin is required to file its own federal income tax return for the periods subsequent to its initial public offering. Alleghany’s 2004 income tax return is currently under examination by the Internal Revenue Service. Alleghany’s 2003, 2005, and 2006 income tax returns remain open to examination.

(12) Related Party Transactions

In connection with the business produced by DPUI and written on policies of the Capitol Companies, the parties have entered into a management service agreement under which DPUI provides underwriting, management, administration, claims settlement and reinsurance settlement services for the Capitol Companies on this business in exchange for management fees paid by the Capitol Companies to DPUI. The total amount of these fees were $3,726 and $7,772 for the three months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively, and $12,797 and $28,092 for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively, that are eliminated in consolidation.

 

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DARWIN PROFESSIONAL UNDERWRITERS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements

(Unaudited)

(Dollars in thousands, except per share amounts)

 

Darwin’s condensed consolidated statement of operations reflects fees due to the Capitol Companies for the use of policies of the Capitol Companies for the underwriting of its business. These fees were $227 and $74 for the three months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively, and $951 and $254 for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively. For 2006, such fees payable are calculated as 0.5% of premiums written in 2006 by Darwin on policies issued by the Capitol Companies and effective January 1, 2007, the fee increased to 3.0% of premiums written by Darwin on policies issued by the Capitol Companies. Darwin reimbursed the Capitol Companies separately for premium taxes and guaranty assessment fees. The reimbursement of expenses were $100 and $201 for the three months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively, and $391 and $538 for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively. As of September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006, Darwin had payables of $90 and $83, respectively, to the Capitol Companies for such fees and expenses.

Certain of Darwin’s expenses, primarily its directors and officers liability insurance and its audit fees, have been paid directly by Alleghany and then reimbursed by Darwin to Alleghany. Darwin reimbursed Alleghany for expenses of $221 and $250 in connection with these charges for the three months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively, and $302 and $345 in connection with these charges for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively.

Up until the time of its initial public offering on May 18, 2006, Darwin had filed a consolidated federal income tax return with its ultimate parent, Alleghany. For the periods subsequent to its initial public offering, Darwin is required to file its own federal income tax return. Darwin made federal tax payments of $2,707 to Alleghany for federal taxes during the nine months ended September 30, 2006. Darwin made a federal tax payment of $271 to Alleghany for a change of an estimate related to a tax provision to tax return adjustment recorded in the third quarter of 2007.

(13) Segments

Darwin’s specialty liability insurance operations comprise one business segment. The specialty liability insurance business consists primarily of four lines of business; directors and officers liability, errors and omissions liability, general liability, and medical malpractice liability insurance. Management organizes the business around the professional specialty liability insurance market and related products. Our Chief Operating Decision Maker (President and Chief Executive Officer) reviews results and operating plans and makes decisions on resource allocations on a company-wide basis. The Company’s specialty liability insurance business is produced through brokers, agents and program administrators throughout the United States.

Net premiums earned for the four lines of business is not available as the Company purchases reinsurance that covers parts of more than one line of business, and the Company does not allocate reinsurance costs to each line of business. In addition, as reinsurance costs and structure vary by treaty and the underlying risks and limit profiles of the various products differ, a pro rata allocation of reinsurance across each line of business would not be representative of the actual cost of reinsurance for the line of business. As a result, the net premiums written and earned may not be proportional to the gross premiums written and earned.

 

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DARWIN PROFESSIONAL UNDERWRITERS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements

(Unaudited)

(Dollars in thousands, except per share amounts)

 

The following table presents the Company’s four specialty liability products’ gross premiums written and earned for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006.

 

     Three Months Ended
September 30,
   Nine Months Ended
September 30,
     2007    2006    2007    2006

Gross premiums written:

           

Directors and Officers

   $ 7,473    $ 8,997    $ 27,518    $ 29,209

Errors and Omissions

     32,309      25,727      106,662      81,051

General Liability

     453      —        453      —  

Medical Malpractice Liability

     29,071      30,703      74,833      73,115
                           

Total

   $ 69,306    $ 65,427    $ 209,466    $ 183,375
                           

Gross premiums earned:

           

Directors and Officers

   $ 9,867    $ 10,142    $ 29,948    $ 27,836

Errors and Omissions

     33,277      23,767      94,477      61,629

General Liability

     66      —        66      —  

Medical Malpractice Liability

     23,348      21,822      70,101      62,154
                           

Total

   $ 66,558    $ 55,731    $ 194,592    $ 151,619
                           

(14) Commitments and Contingencies

The Company is subject to routine legal proceedings in the normal course of operating its business. The Company is not involved in any legal proceeding which the Company believes could reasonably be expected to have a material adverse effect on its business, results of operations or financial condition.

The Company leases certain facilities and equipment under long-term lease agreements.

(15) Subsidiary Dividends

The Company’s insurance subsidiary, DNA, received approval on February 28, 2007 from the Delaware Insurance Department to pay DPUI an extraordinary dividend of $3,500, which was paid to DPUI in March 2007.

 

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Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Conditions and Results of Operations

The following discussion and analysis of our financial condition and results of operations should be read in conjunction with the unaudited financial statements and accompanying notes included herein. Some of the information contained in this discussion and analysis or set forth elsewhere in this Form 10-Q constitutes forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Please see “Note on Forward-Looking Statements” for a discussion of important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the results described in or implied by the forward-looking statements contained herein. Please see “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” and our audited December 31, 2006 Consolidated Financial Statements and Notes thereto, as presented in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2006 (the 2006 Form 10-K), as filed on February 28, 2007 with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), for an expanded company history, a detailed discussion of risk factors that may affect our business and other additional information.

Note on Forward-Looking Statements

Some statements in this Report are “forward-looking statements” as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, as amended. All statements other than historical information or statements of current condition contained in this Report, including statements regarding our future financial performance, our business strategy and expected developments in the commercial insurance market, are forward-looking statements. The words “expect,” “intend,” “plan,” “believe,” “project,” “may,” “estimate,” “continue,” “anticipate,” “will,” and similar expressions of a future or forward-looking nature identify forward-looking statements. We have based these forward-looking statements on management’s current expectations. Such statements are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual events or results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by any of these statements.

Factors that could cause actual events or results to differ materially from our forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, the following: global economic conditions which could affect the market for specialty liability insurance generally as well as alter the intensity of competition within our markets; changes in the laws, rules and regulations which apply to our insurance companies and which affect how they do business; effects of newly-emerging claim and coverage issues on our insurance businesses, including adverse judicial decisions or regulatory rulings; unexpected loss of key personnel or higher-than-anticipated turnover within our staff; effects of rating agency policies and practices which could impact our insurance companies’ claims paying and financial strength ratings; market developments affecting the availability and/or the cost of reinsurance, including changes in the recoverability of reinsurance receivables; the impact on financial results of actual claims levels’ exceeding our loss reserves, or changes in what level of loss reserves is estimated to be necessary; the impact of industry changes required as a result of insurance industry investigations by state and federal authorities; developments within the securities markets which affect the price or yield on investment securities we purchase and hold in our investment portfolio; our inability for any reason to execute announced and/or future strategic initiatives as planned; and other factors identified in filings with the SEC, including the risk factors set forth in our 2006 Form 10-K.

These statements should not be regarded as a representation by us or any other person that any anticipated event, future plan or other expectation described or discussed in this Report will be achieved. We undertake no obligation to update publicly or review for any reason any forward-looking statement after the date of this Report or to conform these statements to actual results or changes in our expectations. All subsequent written and oral forward-looking statements attributable to us or individuals acting on our behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by this paragraph.

Our History

DPUI was originally formed by Stephen Sills, our President and Chief Executive Officer, and Alleghany in March 2003 as an underwriting manager to underwrite professional liability coverages in the D&O, E&O and medical malpractice liability lines for three insurance companies that are wholly-owned subsidiaries of Alleghany: Capitol Indemnity Corporation, Capitol Specialty Insurance Corporation and Platte River Insurance Company (which we refer to, collectively, as the Capitol Companies). DPUI also writes the same professional liability coverages on its two wholly-owned carriers Darwin National Assurance Company (DNA) and Darwin Select Insurance Company (Darwin Select). Since inception, we have had full responsibility for managing the business produced by DPUI and issued on policies of the Capitol Companies, including responsibility for obtaining reinsurance on such business and responsibility for administering claims. Whenever we refer to business generated, written or produced by Darwin, we include business produced by DPUI and written on policies of the Capitol Companies (whether before or after the acquisitions of DNA and Darwin Select), all of which policies are now fully reinsured by DNA.

 

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In February 2004, Alleghany formed Darwin Group, Inc. (“Darwin Group”), a wholly-owned subsidiary of Alleghany, in order to acquire DNA, an admitted insurance company domiciled in Delaware, from Aegis Holding, Inc., a subsidiary of Associated Electric & Gas Insurance Services Limited. At the time of acquisition, DNA (then named U.S. Aegis Insurance Company) was licensed in 40 states. As of October 31, 2007, DNA was licensed in 49 states, in the District of Columbia, and is eligible to write on a surplus lines basis in the one remaining state (Arkansas).

In May 2005, Darwin Group, through its subsidiary DNA, acquired Darwin Select, a surplus lines insurance company (then named Ulico Indemnity Company) domiciled in Arkansas from Ulico Casualty Company, a subsidiary of ULLICO Inc. As of October 31, 2007, Darwin Select was licensed to write insurance in Arkansas, was eligible to operate on a surplus lines basis in 48 additional states, and has an application for eligible surplus lines status pending in New York.

Ongoing Arrangements with the Capitol Companies

As described above, DPUI initially was formed as an underwriting manager for the Capitol Companies. Until DNA and Darwin Select obtained independent ratings of “A—” (Excellent) in November 2005, almost all of the business produced by DPUI was issued on policies of the Capitol Companies. Since DNA and Darwin Select obtained independent ratings from A.M. Best, whenever possible, DPUI has written coverage on policies issued by DNA or Darwin Select. However, our insurance company subsidiaries are not currently licensed (in the case of our admitted carrier DNA) or eligible to write business on a surplus lines basis (in the case of Darwin Select) in all U.S. jurisdictions, and DNA does not yet have in place all rate and form filings required to write insurance business in every jurisdiction where it is licensed. In addition, the Capitol Companies have A.M. Best ratings of “A” (Excellent), and we believe that insureds in certain classes of our business (primarily public D&O) require policies issued by an insurer with an A.M. Best rating of “A” (Excellent). Consequently, although we expect to write the majority of our business on policies issued by DNA or Darwin Select, we continue to depend upon the Capitol Companies to write policies for a portion of the business produced by DPUI. These policies are written by the Capitol Companies pursuant to the underwriting management agreements currently in effect and are fully reinsured by DNA. During the third quarter of 2006, DNA collateralized reinsurance payables to the Capitol Companies with the establishment of reinsurance trusts which are required to be funded at 100% of the reinsurance payables outstanding. The trusts balances are reviewed and adjusted, if necessary, on a quarterly basis.

For the year ended December 31, 2006, we wrote gross premiums of $65.8 million (26.7% of our total gross premium written) through the Capitol Companies arrangement. Of this amount, approximately $32.8 million (49.8% of the total) related to business written through the Capitol Companies because the business was in a state where our insurance company subsidiaries were not then licensed or eligible to write business, and approximately $33.0 million (50.2%) related to business where our insured required a policy from an A.M. Best “A” rated carrier. During the first nine months of 2007, $31.7 million, or 15.1% of the total gross premiums underwritten by DPUI, was written on policies of the Capitol Companies. Of this amount, approximately $11.7 million (36.9%) was written in jurisdictions where our insurance company subsidiaries were not licensed or eligible to write business and approximately $20.0 million (63.1%) was written for certain of our insureds requiring policies issued by an insurer with an A.M. Best rating of “A” (Excellent)

We expect that our issuance of policies written on the Capitol Companies for the insureds who require an A.M. Best rating of “A” (Excellent) will continue so long as our rating is “A—” (Excellent). To date, most of the insureds in this category are public companies purchasing D&O insurance. The following table indicates the amount of public D&O gross premiums written in each of the periods presented as a percentage of total gross premiums written for such period. We believe that public D&O is the most rating sensitive class of business that we write and, accordingly, that it provides the best available indicator of our level of rating sensitive business.

 

     Three Months ended
September 30,
    Nine Months ended
September 30,
 
     2007     2006     2007     2006  
     (Dollars in millions)  

Public D&O Gross Premiums Written

   $ 3.7     $ 5.1     $ 15.1     $ 21.4  

Total Gross Premiums Written

   $ 69.3     $ 65.4     $ 209.5     $ 183.4  

Percentage of Total Represented by Public D&O

     5.3 %     7.8 %     7.2 %     11.6 %

While our public D&O writings have declined as a percentage of our total writings and our percentage of business written on the Capitol Companies has decreased accordingly, we still believe we will need to write a portion of this business on the

 

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Capitol Companies’ policies in the future. Our issuance of policies written on the Capitol Companies in jurisdictions where the Darwin insurance companies are not licensed or eligible to write business has decreased as we have obtained the required licenses or approvals. As of October 31, 2007, we were seeking approval in only two remaining states, New York and New Hampshire, both for Darwin Select.

The fees charged to Darwin for the issuance of Capitol Companies’ policies in respect of business produced by DPUI are 0.5% of gross premiums written on policies of the Capitol Companies in 2006, and 3.0% thereafter. For the three months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, these fees were $0.2 million and $0.1 million, respectively, and $1.0 million and $0.3 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively. In addition, Darwin is required to reimburse the Capitol Companies for direct expenses that they incur in connection with the issuance of such policies, such as premium taxes and guaranty association assessments. Pursuant to the expense reimbursement arrangements, Darwin reimbursed direct expenses in connection with the business written on policies of the Capitol Companies of $0.1 million and $0.2 million for the three months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively, and $0.4 million and $0.5 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively.

The initial term of the underwriting management agreements between DPUI and the Capitol Companies extended until May 31, 2007 and is thereafter renewed on an annual basis. However, either party may terminate effective upon an expiration date (May 31st of each year), provided that the terminating party provides 60 days prior notice of termination. Currently, the agreements extend to May 31, 2008. In addition, a Capitol Company may terminate at any time, by written notice, when Alleghany does not own at least 51% of the outstanding equity interests in DPUI or upon a sale of all or substantially all of the assets of DPUI to a person other than Alleghany or an affiliate of Alleghany. DPUI may terminate its underwriting management agreement with a Capitol Company at any time, by written notice, when Alleghany does not own at least 51% of the outstanding equity interests in the subject Capitol Company or upon a sale of all or substantially all of the assets of the subject Capitol Company to any person other than Alleghany or an affiliate of Alleghany.

Our Condensed Consolidated Financial Information

The accompanying historical condensed consolidated financial statements are presented on a basis that reflects the actual business written by DPUI, regardless of the originating insurance carrier, and include the stand-alone operations of DPUI, Darwin Group and its subsidiaries, DNA and Darwin Select, and certain assets, liabilities and results of operations of the Capitol Companies resulting from the business produced by DPUI and issued on policies of the Capitol Companies. All of the business produced by DPUI and issued on policies of the Capitol Companies was assumed by DNA for all periods presented in these financial statements.

The Company’s condensed consolidated financial statements are presented in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). The preparation of financial statements requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect amounts reported in the financial statements and accompanying notes. Actual results could differ significantly from those estimates.

Critical Accounting Estimates

Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense (LAE) Reserves. Darwin establishes reserves on its balance sheets for unpaid losses and LAE related to our insurance contracts. The reserves are our estimated ultimate cost for all reported and unreported loss and LAE incurred and unpaid as of the balance sheet date.

The estimate of Darwin’s loss and LAE reserves reflects the types of contracts written by Darwin. Darwin’s insurance contracts are predominantly written on a “claims-made” basis. Claims-made insurance contracts are commonly used in Darwin’s lines of business and provide coverage for claims related to covered events described in the insurance contract that are made against the insured during the term of the contract and reported to the insurer during a period provided for in the contract.

Darwin has a small number of insurance contracts that are written on an “occurrence” basis. Occurrence basis insurance contracts provide coverage for losses related to covered events described in the insurance contract that occur during the term of the contract, regardless of the date the loss is reported to the insurer.

For both claims-made and occurrence contracts, a significant amount of time can elapse between the occurrence of an insured event, the reporting of the occurrence to the insurer and the final settlement of the claim (including related settlement costs). Since reporting periods are defined and limited in time under claims-made contracts but are not defined and limited in time under occurrence contracts, the ultimate settlement period for similar losses incurred under claims-made contracts is generally shorter than under occurrence contracts.

 

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The major components of our loss and LAE reserves are (1) case reserves and (2) reserves for losses and LAE incurred but not reported (IBNR). Both include a provision for LAE. We divide LAE into two types: (1) “allocated” expenses (ALAE) are those that arise from defending and settling specific claims, such as the cost of outside defense counsel, and (2) “unallocated” expenses (ULAE) are those that do not arise from and cannot be assigned to specific claims, such as the general expense of maintaining an internal claims department.

Case reserves are liabilities for unpaid losses and ALAE on reported cases. Case reserves are established by claims adjustors as soon as sufficient information has been reported for a reasonable estimate of the expected cost of the claim. The amount of time required for the information to be reported may vary depending on the circumstances of the event that produced the loss. Claims adjusters seek to establish case reserves that are equal to the ultimate payments. The amount of each reserve is based upon an evaluation of the type of claim involved, the circumstances surrounding each claim, the policy provisions relating to the loss, the level of insured deductibles, retentions or co-insurance provisions within the contract and other factors relevant to the specific claim. For claims involving litigation, Darwin utilizes outside attorneys with expertise in the area of litigation as monitoring counsel or defense counsel. In addition to relying on his or her own experience and judgment, a claims adjuster will consider monitoring or defense counsel’s estimate of ultimate liability on a claim in the establishment of case reserves. Expenses incurred by the monitoring or defense counsel are included as ALAE reserves. During the loss adjustment period, these estimates are revised as deemed necessary by our claims department based upon developments and periodic reviews of cases. Individual case reserves on all claims are reviewed regularly by claims management. Individual case reserves on severe claims are reviewed for adequacy at least quarterly by senior management.

IBNR is the estimated liability for (1) changes in the values of claims that have been reported to the Company but are not yet settled, as well as (2) claims that have occurred but have not yet been reported. Each claim is settled individually based upon its merits, and it is not unusual for a claim to take years after being reported to settle, especially if legal action is involved. As a result, reserves for unpaid losses and ALAE include significant estimates for IBNR reserves.

Case and IBNR reserves together constitute the reserve for losses and ALAE. In addition, a ULAE reserve is established on a formula basis as a percentage of loss and ALAE case and IBNR reserves. In total, these amounts represent management’s best estimate, as of each reserve evaluation date, of ultimate settlement costs based on the assessment of facts and circumstances known at that time.

Darwin relies on two actuarial methods that employ significant judgments and assumptions to establish loss and ALAE reserves recorded on the balance sheet. Darwin’s choice of actuarial methodologies is limited by the fact that, due to Darwin’s relatively short history, its loss and ALAE emergence since inception lacks sufficient data to be statistically credible for many methodologies.

For each line of business, Darwin uses two methodologies. These methodologies are generally accepted actuarial methods for estimating IBNR and are as follows:

1) The Bornhuetter-Ferguson (B-F) methodology. This methodology utilizes:

a) Darwin’s initial expected loss ratio. Darwin selects this ratio based primarily on historical insurance industry results. “Loss ratio” means the ratio of loss and ALAE to premiums earned.

b) Expected reporting and development patterns for losses and ALAE. We utilize historical insurance industry results for Darwin’s product lines of insurance.

c) Darwin’s actual reported losses and ALAE.

The B-F method blends actual reported losses with expected losses based on insurance industry experience.

2) The Expected Loss Ratio methodology. This methodology applies the expected loss and ALAE ratio to premiums earned (which is the portion of property and casualty premiums written that apply to the expired portion of the policy term). Darwin’s selected expected loss and ALAE ratios under this method are based primarily on historical insurance industry results adjusted for price and loss trends by product line.

 

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Darwin believes that both of the methodologies used are well-suited to Darwin’s relatively short history and low level of reported losses and ALAE, and we utilize an actuarial weighting of the two methodologies. The weighting relies predominantly on the Expected Loss Ratio methodology, which has generally produced higher reserve estimates, but allows the B-F methodology to have a modest impact on our ultimate loss estimates initially. The weighting of the B-F methodology for each individual accident year increases over time as Darwin’s actual loss and ALAE history becomes more mature and as the volume of business Darwin writes reaches levels where actuarial projections relying on this data are statistically credible.

The two methodologies are complementary. The Expected Loss Ratio methodology directly reflects the historical, and thus potential, impact of high severity losses. The historical loss and ALAE ratios that form the basis of the Expected Loss Ratio method are directly impacted by large losses (severity) as they reflect composite industry data. By comparison, the historical insurance industry expected reporting and development patterns utilized in the B-F methodology are most predictive as reported losses and ALAE mature and/or reach a credible volume. As our losses and ALAE continue to mature, we expect that the B-F methodology will become a more reliable methodology for us, and that the actuarial weighting will utilize it as a more significant predictor of ultimate loss and ALAE.

The actuarial weights may be subject to revision as losses are reported and develop toward ultimate values. For example, if all claims reported in an experience year are settled and closed more quickly than expected based upon industry data, the weight applied to the indication for that year resulting from the B-F methodology may be adjusted.

The weight applied to the B-F indication for each experience year is 0% at 12 months of maturity and increases to 100% at 72 months of maturity. For example, losses reported to Darwin during 2004:

 

   

Are at 12 months of maturity when evaluated on 12/31/04. The B-F indications would receive 0% weighting.

 

   

Are at 36 months of maturity when evaluated on 12/31/06. The B-F indications would receive 30% weighting.

 

   

Are at 72 months of maturity when evaluated on 12/31/09. The B-F indication would receive 100% weighting.

Complementary weights are applied to the Expected Loss Ratio methodology for each experience year. This is designed to provide both stability (Expected Loss Ratio method) and moderate responsiveness (B-F method) in determining loss and ALAE reserves.

In using the weighted loss and ALAE ratios to select our ultimate loss and ALAE incurred, we have adopted the weighted gross loss and ALAE ratios by product line for accident year 2006 earlier in the emergence and development of our 2006 loss experience than we had for prior accident years. We did this because the volume and credibility of our 2006 experience were sufficient to allow earlier estimates by product line than we have reported in previous quarters.

In addition, we have adopted the net (of reinsurance) weighted loss and ALAE ratios for 2003 through 2006. Previously, our net ratios had been estimated assuming a pro rata allocation of our losses to each reinsurance layer.

Beginning in June 2007, we adopted our gross and net 2003 through 2006 actuarial weighted loss and ALAE ratios for all product lines. The only exception is accident year 2005 Public D&O, for which our selected gross and net ratios are moderately higher than the weighted ratios. We selected our 2005 Public D&O ratios based on a detailed assessment of several Public D&O claims for this accident year. Based on the detailed assessment, the limits outstanding on the underlying policies and the potential volatility in the loss ratio given the potential severity of these claims, we determined that a slightly higher loss ratio was appropriate.

For the nine months ended September 30, 2007, the impact of the actuarial weighting methodology and management judgment was a net reduction of $7.7 million, or 3.5%, of the total September 30, 2007 net loss and ALAE reserves, reflecting overall favorable loss and ALAE emergence for the 2003 through 2006 accident years.

As mentioned above, ULAE represents claims-related expenses that do not arise from and cannot be assigned to specific claims, such as the general expense of maintaining an internal claims department. In the fourth quarter of 2006, we revised our methodology for calculating the ULAE reserve. Darwin’s experience had matured to the point that we adopted a generally accepted methodology that assumes that (1) 50% of ULAE is incurred when a claim is first reported, analyzed and a case reserve is established, and (2) the remaining 50% of ULAE is incurred over the life of the claim. The ULAE reserve is determined by applying a fixed percentage to 50% of our loss and ALAE case reserves and 100% of our loss and ALAE IBNR reserves. We selected a fixed percentage of 3.2% based on our analysis of insurance industry averages.

 

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Darwin’s loss reserve analysis calculates a point estimate rather than a range of reserve estimates. This is done because a significant portion of Darwin’s loss and LAE reserves relate to lines of business that are driven by severity rather than frequency of claims. High severity lines of business tend to produce a wide range of reserve estimates which limit the usefulness of the range for selecting reserves. We believe that point estimates based on appropriate actuarial methodologies and reasonable assumptions are more actuarially reasonable. The point estimates are recorded in Darwin’s financial statements. Also, we do not discount (recognize the time value of money) in establishing our reserve for losses and LAE.

Darwin could be exposed to losses resulting from a significant liability event, such as an unexpected adverse court decision that impacts multiple insureds, or the occurrence of an unusually high number of liability losses in one reporting period. Such events could have a material adverse impact on Darwin’s results during such period, and such impact may not be mitigated by the Company’s current reinsurance structure. In general, liability claims are susceptible to changes in the legal environment, such as changes in laws impacting claims or changes resulting from judicial decisions interpreting insurance contracts. However, it is often difficult to quantify the impact that such changes in the environment might have on Darwin’s reserves. Not all environmental changes are necessarily detrimental to Darwin’s loss ratio and reserves. For example, recent medical malpractice tort reform legislation at the state level could result in mitigation of loss which, if not offset by significant reductions in price levels, would result in improvement in Darwin’s loss and LAE ratio.

The liabilities that we establish for loss and LAE reserves reflect implicit assumptions regarding economic, legal and insurance variables. These include changes in insurance price levels, the potential effects of future inflation, impacts from law changes and/or judicial decisions, as well as a number of actuarial assumptions that vary across Darwin’s lines of business. This data is analyzed by line of business and report/accident year, as appropriate. Along with claim severity, as discussed above and incorporated through the use of industry loss and LAE ratios, two variables that can have significant impact on actuarial analysis of loss and LAE reserves are recent trends in insurance price levels and claim frequency.

Regarding changes in price levels, for the first nine months of 2007 compared to the first nine months of 2006, Darwin experienced average price decreases of 10.6% and 3.1%, respectively, across all its product lines, excluding our new general liability line. These decreases follow several years of industry price increases in lines of business that Darwin writes and we believe they are not unusual during the insurance pricing cycle. Without mitigating factors, such as favorable loss emergence, such reductions in prior price levels could result in a commensurate increase in the expected loss and LAE ratio that is utilized in actuarial methodologies.

Darwin monitors changes in claim frequency (number of claims). Such changes vary by line of business and can impact the expected loss and LAE ratio. For example, Darwin writes D&O liability insurance for public companies, and securities class action suits have historically generated significant losses in this line.

The liabilities for loss and LAE reserves include significant judgments, assumptions and estimates made by management relating to the ultimate losses that will arise from the claims. Due to the inherent uncertainties in the process of establishing these liabilities, the actual ultimate loss from a claim is likely to differ, perhaps materially, from the liability initially recorded and could be material to the results of Darwin’s operations. The accounting policies used in connection with the establishment of these liabilities are considered to be critical accounting policies.

Darwin establishes its best estimate for liabilities for loss and LAE reserves. Because of the high level of uncertainty regarding the setting of liabilities for loss and LAE reserves, it is the practice of Darwin to engage, at least annually, an outside actuary to evaluate and opine on the reasonableness of these gross and net liabilities. Based on the Company’s analyses and the external actuarial opinions as of December 31, 2006, management believes that the reserves for loss and LAE established as of December 31, 2006 and September 30, 2007 are adequate and represent the best estimate of Darwin’s liabilities. For December 31, 2006, our external actuaries issued unqualified statements of actuarial opinion as to the reasonableness of the reserves for each of DNA and Darwin Select. These unqualified statements were filed with the insurance departments of the respective states of domicile of DNA and Darwin Select (Delaware and Arkansas). The statements of actuarial opinion issued by our external actuaries indicate that the opinions may be relied upon only by the DNA, Darwin Select and the insurance departments of the various states with which the companies file annual statutory statements.

 

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The following tables show the breakdown of our reserves between case reserves, IBNR reserves and ULAE reserves both gross and net of reinsurance:

Gross Loss and LAE Reserves

 

     At September 30, 2007     At December 31, 2006  

Statutory Line of Business

   Case     IBNR     ULAE     Total     Case     IBNR     ULAE     Total  
     (Dollars in thousands)  

Other liability, claims-made

   $ 25,214     $ 188,851     $ 5,434     $ 219,499     $ 17,779     $ 135,938     $ 3,931     $ 157,648  

Other liability, occurrence

     10       3,426       92       3,528       —         1,725       47       1,772  

Medical Malpractice Liability, claims-made

     18,731       110,350       4,908       133,989       15,334       84,952       3,843       104,129  
                                                                

Total

   $ 43,955     $ 302,627     $ 10,434     $ 357,016     $ 33,113     $ 222,615     $ 7,821     $ 263,549  
                                                                

Percentage of total gross reserves

     12.3 %     84.8 %     2.9 %     100.0 %     12.6 %     84.4 %     3.0 %     100.0 %

Loss and LAE Reserves, Net of Reinsurance

 

     At September 30, 2007     At December 31, 2006  

Statutory Line of Business

   Case     IBNR     ULAE     Total     Case     IBNR     ULAE     Total  

Other liability, claims-made

   $ 19,973     $ 114,274     $ 5,398     $ 139,645     $ 14,653     $ 82,887     $ 3,895     $ 101,435  

Other liability, occurrence

     10       2,727       92       2,829       —         1,364       47       1,411  

Medical Malpractice Liability, claims-made

     15,463       68,176       4,908       88,547       12,556       48,046       3,843       64,445  
                                                                

Total

   $ 35,446     $ 185,177     $ 10,398     $ 231,021     $ 27,209     $ 132,297     $ 7,785     $ 167,291  
                                                                

Percentage of total net reserves

     15.3 %     80.2 %     4.5 %     100.0 %     16.3 %     79.0 %     4.7 %     100.0 %

For the B-F and Expected Loss Ratio methodologies that Darwin uses in reserve estimation, important assumptions are related to the insurance industry historical experience that forms the basis for Darwin’s estimates. These assumptions are that (1) the Expected Loss and LAE ratio is a credible estimate of Darwin’s ultimate loss ratio and (2) industry expected reporting and development patterns for losses and ALAE are indicative of the emergence pattern that Darwin will experience.

The sensitivity of indicated reserves to changes in assumptions is estimated by creating several scenarios and applying Darwin’s actuarial methodologies. The scenarios assume:

 

  (1) The expected loss and LAE ratios vary by as much as 5 percentage points above and below the key assumptions underlying our selected loss reserving methodologies. Both methodologies are sensitive to this assumption.

 

  (2) Loss development factors change by an average of 5% from the key assumptions underlying our selected loss reserving methodologies. A decrease in loss development means that Darwin’s reported losses are assumed to be closer to ultimate value and thus have less development remaining than insurance industry data would indicate. An increase in loss development means that Darwin’s reported losses and LAE are assumed to have more development remaining before ultimate values are reached than insurance industry data would indicate. The B-F method is sensitive to this assumption.

These scenarios are well within historical variation for Darwin’s lines of business and we believe they create a reasonable sensitivity test of Darwin’s reserves. Neither of these adjustments is believed to be more likely than the other in the assumptions underlying Darwin’s reserves.

 

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The tables below present the potential changes in Darwin’s gross loss reserves as of September 30, 2007 (assumes no benefit from reinsurance), before and after the effect of tax, that could result based upon changes of the key assumptions underlying our selected loss reserving methodologies:

Pre-Tax

 

    

Change in Loss

Development / Emergence

 

Change in Expected Loss and LAE Ratio

   5% Average
Decrease
    No Change     5% Average
Increase
 
     (Dollars in thousands)  

5 percentage point increase

   $ 10,353     $ 22,492     $ 33,560  

No change

     (11,425 )     —         10,353  

5 percentage point decrease

     (33,202 )     (22,492 )     (12,853 )

After-Tax (Assumes a 35% tax rate)

 

    

Change in Loss

Development / Emergence

 

Change in Expected Loss and LAE Ratio

   5% Average
Decrease
    No Change     5% Average
Increase
 
     (Dollars in thousands)  

5 percentage point increase

   $ 6,730     $ 14,620     $ 21,814  

No change

     (7,426 )     —         6,730  

5 percentage point decrease

     (21,582 )     (14,620 )     (8,354 )

The results summarized above assume no benefit of reinsurance. The effect of Darwin’s reinsurance program on the scenarios reflected above would depend on the nature of the loss activity that generated a change in loss development/emergence. Darwin’s reinsurance program is predominantly excess of loss in structure and will respond to the occurrence of individual large losses (severity). If the changes were produced by a large number (frequency) of small losses, the reinsurance would not respond and the scenario results would be unchanged.

Darwin continually evaluates the potential for changes, both positive and negative, in its estimates of liabilities and uses the results of these evaluations to adjust both recorded liabilities and underwriting criteria. With respect to liabilities for loss and LAE reserves established in prior years, such liabilities are periodically analyzed and their expected ultimate cost adjusted, where necessary, to reflect positive or negative development in loss experience and new information, including revised industry estimates of the results of a particular line of business. Adjustments to previously recorded loss and LAE reserves, both positive and negative, are reflected in Darwin’s financial results in the periods in which such adjustments are made and are referred to as prior year reserve development.

Reinsurance and Reinsurance Recoverables. Darwin purchases third party treaty reinsurance for substantially all of its lines of business. Treaty reinsurance provides protection over entire classes or lines of business. On a limited basis, Darwin has purchased facultative reinsurance (which is reinsurance obtained on a case-by-case basis for all or part of the insurance with respect to a single risk, exposure, or policy) to provide reinsurance protection on individual risks. Accounting for reinsurance contracts is complex and requires a number of significant judgments and estimates to be made regarding the calculation of amounts payable to reinsurers, amounts recoverable from reinsurers and the ultimate collectibility of those reinsurance recoverables from reinsurers. In addition, significant judgments are required in the determination of the compliance with overall risk transfer provisions that determine the accounting for reinsurance. These judgments and estimates are critical accounting estimates for Darwin.

Part of our current excess of loss reinsurance program is structured on a variable-rated basis, which enables us to retain a greater portion of premium if our ultimate loss ratio is lower than an initial provisional loss ratio set out in the reinsurance contract. For these contracts our ceded premium incurred on these treaties is determined by the loss ratio on the business subject to the reinsurance treaty. As the expected ultimate loss ratio increases or decreases, the ceded premiums and losses recoverable from reinsurers will also increase or decrease relationally within a minimum and maximum range for ceded premium and subject to a loss ratio cap for losses recoverable. Until such time as the ceded premium reaches the maximum rate within the terms of the contract, ceded premium paid to the reinsurer will be in excess of the amount of any losses

 

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recoverable from reinsurers. After the ceded premium incurred reaches the maximum rate stated in the contract, covered losses incurred within the contract are recoverable from reinsurers up to a loss ratio cap, without any required additional ceded premium payment. Not all variable contracts specify a loss cap, but where they are in effect, they vary, with the lowest cap being 225% of the maximum rate of ceded premium payable within the terms of the contracts. As a result, the same uncertainties associated with estimating loss and LAE reserves affect the estimates of ceded premiums and losses recoverable from reinsurers on these contracts.

In addition to the variable-rated excess of loss reinsurance, Darwin also purchases fixed-cost excess of loss reinsurance, under which we cede a fixed percentage of premiums to our reinsurers depending upon the policy limits written, and the losses recoverable are determined based upon losses incurred in excess of the reinsurance attachment point.

As discussed in the 2006 Form 10-K, Darwin reinsures all of its lines of business through a program consisting primarily of excess of loss reinsurance treaties. In conjunction with the renewal of the major reinsurance treaties, effective April 1, 2007, Darwin restructured its reinsurance program. For the medical malpractice treaty, the Company eliminated the variable-rated aspect of our reinsurance program, standardized the retention to $1 million for all classes and secured a $10 million in excess of $1 million cessions treaty. Darwin was also able to increase the ceding commission by 1.5% to 24%, add the clinical trials business as a covered class of business, and maintain its 15% participation in this treaty.

For the professional lines and managed care E&O treaties, the program was also restructured effective April 1, 2007, with Darwin entering into a tiered excess of loss program with varying coverage by lines and varying ceding commission rates. The first tier, for all lines covered by these treaties (except for commercial, financial institutions and healthcare D&O and financial institutions and managed care E&O), is a $1 million excess of $1 million, variable rated treaty with a loss cap equal to 300% of ceded premium in which Darwin’s participation is 25%. The second tier, which covers all classes of professional and managed care lines covered by the treaties, is a $3 million excess of $2 million, flat rated excess cession treaty with a 26% ceding commission and a loss cap equal to 250% of ceded premium in which Darwin’s participation is 25%. The Company has a third tier of $5 million in excess of $5 million for all classes covered under the professional lines and managed care treaties (except for $10 million in excess of $5 million for A-side D&O, private and not for profit D&O, and primary insurance agents E&O), that is a flat rated excess cession with a 25% ceding commission and a loss cap equal to 250% of ceded premium in which Darwin’s participation is 15%. In addition, Darwin has a fourth tier which is a renewal of the managed care E&O treaty with a layer of $10 million in excess of $10 million, with expanded coverage to provide an additional $5 million in excess of $15 million for A-side D&O capability in which Darwin’s participation is 10% and the maximum recoverable is $50 million. Darwin did not renew the i-bind quota share treaty which expired March 31, 2007. The new general liability line, beginning in the third quarter of 2007, is included under the professional lines treaty second and third tiers.

Unpaid ceded reinsurance premium balances payable to the reinsurers are reported as liabilities and estimated ceded premiums recoverable from reinsurers are reported as assets. The ceded premiums recoverable assets due to variable rated contracts are generally recoverable beginning three years after the expiration date of the contract.

Reinsurance contracts that do not result in a reasonable possibility that the reinsurer may realize a significant loss from the insurance risk assumed and that do not provide for the transfer of significant insurance risk generally do not meet the requirements for reinsurance accounting and are accounted for as deposits.

Darwin performs analyses of its reinsurance contracts to ascertain whether or not they meet the risk transfer provisions of Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) Statement No. 113, Accounting for Reinsurance (SFAS No. 113). Evaluating risk transfer involves significant assumptions relating to the amount and timing of expected cash flows, as well as interpretations of underlying contract terms, to determine if contracts meet the conditions established by SFAS No. 113. These tests include a number of subjective judgments. Because of this subjectivity and in the context of evolving practices and application of existing and future standards, we could be required in the future to adjust our accounting treatment of these transactions. This could have a material effect on our financial condition and results of operations. Based upon the analysis performed on our reinsurance contracts, we believe that all of our contracts with third party reinsurers meet the risk transfer provisions of SFAS No. 113, and therefore we do not account for any of our reinsurance contracts as deposits.

Reinsurance recoverables on paid and unpaid losses (including amounts related to settlement expenses and claims incurred but not reported) and ceded unearned reinsurance premiums are reported as assets. Amounts recoverable on unpaid losses from reinsurers are estimated in a manner consistent with the claim liability associated with the reinsured business.

Ceded unearned reinsurance premiums (the portion of premiums representing the unexpired portion of the policy term as of a certain date), reinsurance recoverable on paid and unpaid losses and settlement expenses and ceded premiums

 

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recoverable are reported separately as assets, rather than being netted with the related liabilities, since reinsurance does not relieve us of our liability to policyholders. Such balances are subject to the credit risk associated with the individual reinsurer. We continually monitor the financial condition of our reinsurers. Any estimate of unrecoverable amounts from troubled or insolvent reinsurers is charged to earnings at the time of determination that recoverability is in doubt. To date, Darwin has not recorded a charge to earnings for uncollectibility of reinsurance recoverables from reinsurers.

Investment Valuation. Darwin holds its equity and fixed maturity securities as available for sale, and as such, these securities are recorded at fair value based on quoted market prices where available, or are estimated using values obtained from independent pricing services. Unrealized gains and losses during the year, net of the related tax effect applicable to available for sale securities, are excluded from earnings and reflected in other comprehensive income (loss) and the cumulative effect is reported as a separate component of common stockholders’ equity until realized.

Equities and fixed maturities deemed to have declines in value that are other-than-temporary are written down to carrying values equal to their estimated fair values in the condensed consolidated statement of operations. On a quarterly basis, all securities with an unrealized loss are reviewed to determine whether the decline in the fair value of any investment below cost is other-than-temporary. Considerations relevant to this determination include the persistence and magnitude of the decline of the issuer, issuer-specific financial conditions rather than general market or industry conditions and extraordinary events including negative news releases and rating agency downgrades. Risks and uncertainties are inherent in our assessment methodology for determining whether a decline in value is other-than-temporary. Risks and uncertainties could include, but are not limited to, incorrect or overly optimistic assumptions about financial condition or liquidity, incorrect or overly optimistic assumptions about future prospects, inadequacy of any underlying collateral, unfavorable changes in economic or social conditions and unfavorable changes in interest rates or credit ratings.

Impairment losses result in a reduction of the underlying investment’s cost basis. Significant changes in these factors could result in a considerable charge for impairment losses as reported in the condensed consolidated financial statements.

Part of our evaluation of whether particular securities are other-than-temporarily impaired involves assessing whether we have both the intent and ability to continue to hold securities in an unrealized loss position. Since our formation in March 2003, we have not sold any securities held in our investment portfolio for the purpose of generating cash to pay claims or dividends or to meet any other expense or obligation. Accordingly, we believe that our sale activity supports our ability to continue to hold securities in an unrealized loss position until our cost may be recovered. Based on management’s review of the factors above, no securities are considered to be other-than-temporarily impaired.

Deferred Taxes. Up until the time of the completion of its initial public offering on May 19, 2006, Darwin filed a consolidated federal income tax return with its ultimate parent, Alleghany. For the periods subsequent to its initial public offering Darwin is required to file its own federal income tax return. Alleghany has included Darwin’s results from January 1, 2006 through May 18, 2006 in its December 31, 2006 consolidated tax return. Deferred tax assets and liabilities are recognized for the future tax consequences attributable to differences between the financial statement carrying amount of existing assets and liabilities and their respective tax bases and operating loss and tax credit carry forwards. Deferred tax assets and liabilities are measured using enacted tax rates expected to apply to taxable income in the years in which those temporary differences are expected to be recovered or settled. The effect on deferred tax assets and liabilities of a change in tax rates is recognized in income in the period that includes the enactment date. At September 30, 2007, net deferred tax assets of $14.4 million were recorded. At September 30, 2007, gross deferred tax assets were $19.2 million and gross deferred tax liabilities were $4.8 million. The net deferred asset at December 31, 2006 was $8.7 million, with gross deferred tax assets of $14.2 million and gross deferred tax liabilities of $5.5 million. The increase in the net deferred tax assets was primarily due to deferred tax assets for discounting of loss and LAE reserves, unearned premium reserves, net unrealized losses on investment securities and accrued expenses.

Darwin regularly assesses the recoverability of its deferred tax assets. A valuation allowance is provided when it is more likely than not that some portion of the deferred tax asset will not be realized. In assessing the recoverability of deferred tax assets, management considers whether it is more likely than not that some portion or all of the deferred tax assets will not be realized. The ultimate realization of deferred tax assets is dependent upon the generation of future taxable income during the periods in which those temporary differences become deductible. Management considers the scheduled reversal of deferred tax liabilities, projected future taxable income, and tax planning strategies in making this assessment. Based upon the projections for future taxable income over the periods which the deferred tax assets are deductible as well as our year to date 2007 taxable income, management believes it is more likely than not that the Company will realize the benefits of these deductible differences. The amount of the deferred tax asset considered realizable, however, could be reduced in the near or longer term, if estimates of future taxable income during the carryforward period are reduced.

 

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The critical accounting estimates described above should be read in conjunction with Darwin’s other accounting policies as they are described in Note 2 to the December 31, 2006 consolidated financial statements presented in our 2006 Form 10-K. The accounting policies described in Note 2 require Darwin to make estimates and judgments that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, revenues and expenses, and related disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the consolidated financial statements, but do not meet the level of materiality required for a determination that the accounting policy is a critical accounting policy. On an ongoing basis, Darwin evaluates its estimates, including those related to the value of long-lived assets, bad debts, deferred insurance acquisition costs, and contingencies and litigation. Darwin’s estimates are based on historical experience and on various other assumptions that are believed to be reasonable under the circumstances. Actual results may differ from these estimates under different assumptions or conditions.

New Accounting Standards

In September 2005, the Accounting Standards Executive Committee issued Statement of Position 05-1, Accounting by Insurance Enterprises for Deferred Acquisition Costs in Connection with Modifications or Exchanges of Insurance Contracts (SOP 05-1). SOP 05-1 provides guidance on accounting by insurance enterprises for deferred acquisition costs on internal replacements of insurance and investment contracts other than those specifically described in SFAS No. 97, Accounting and Reporting by Insurance Enterprises for Certain Long-Duration Contracts and for Realized Gains and Losses from the Sale of Investments. SOP 05-1 defines an internal replacement as a modification in product benefits, features, rights, or coverages that occurs by the exchange of a contract for a new contract, or by amendment, endorsement, or rider to a contract, or by the election of a feature of coverage within a contract. Darwin adopted SOP 05-01 as of January 1, 2007, and the implementation did not have a material impact on the Company’s operations or financial condition.

In March 2006, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) issued Statement No. 155 (SFAS No. 155), Accounting for Certain Hybrid Instruments, an amendment to FASB Statement No. 133 and 140. This Statement permits fair value remeasurement for any hybrid financial instrument that contains an embedded derivative that otherwise would require bifurcation, and establishes a requirement to evaluate interests in securitized financial assets to identify interests that are freestanding derivatives or that are hybrid financial instruments that contain an embedded derivative requiring bifurcation. This Statement is effective for all financial instruments acquired or issued after the beginning of an entity’s first fiscal year that begins after September 15, 2006. Darwin adopted the provisions of this Statement as of January 1, 2007, and the implementation did not have a material impact on the Company’s results of operations or financial condition.

In July 2006, FASB issued Interpretation No. 48, Accounting for Uncertainty in Income Taxes. The Interpretation clarifies the accounting for income taxes recognized in an enterprise’s financial statements in accordance with FASB Statement No. 109, Accounting for Income Taxes. The Interpretation prescribes a recognition threshold and measurement attribute for the financial statement recognition and measurement of a tax position taken or expected to be taken in a tax return. This Interpretation also provides guidance on derecognition, classification, interest and penalties, accounting in interim periods, disclosure and transition. Darwin adopted the provisions of this Interpretation as of January 1, 2007, and the implementation did not have a material impact on the Company’s results of operations or financial condition.

In September 2006, FASB issued Statement No. 157, Fair Value Measurements. This Statement provides guidance for using fair value to measure assets and liabilities. The Statement does not expand the use of fair value in any new circumstances. The Statement is effective for financial statements prepared for fiscal years beginning after November 15, 2007, and interim periods within those fiscal years. Darwin does not anticipate that this Statement will have a material impact on the Company’s results of operations or financial condition.

In February 2007, FASB Statement No. 159, The Fair Value Option for Financial Assets and Financial Liabilities—Including an amendment of FASB Statement No. 115, was issued. This Statement permits entities to choose to measure many financial instruments and certain other items at fair value, at specified election dates, with unrealized gains and losses reported in earnings at each subsequent reporting date. This Statement is effective as of the beginning of an entity’s first fiscal year that begins after November 15, 2007. Early adoption is permitted as of the beginning of a fiscal year that begins on or before November 15, 2007, provided the entity also elects to apply the provisions of FASB Statement No. 157, Fair Value Measurements. Darwin does not anticipate that this Statement will have a material impact on the Company’s results of operations or financial condition.

 

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Condensed Consolidated Results of Operations

The following table sets forth our consolidated results of operations and underwriting results (dollars in thousands). All significant inter-company accounts and transactions have been eliminated.

 

     Three Months Ended
September 30,
   

% Change

2007 vs 2006

    Nine Months Ended
September 30,
   

% Change

2007 vs 2006

 
     2007     2006       2007     2006    
     (Dollars in thousands)  

Insurance Revenues:

            

Gross premiums written

   $ 69,306     $ 65,427     5.9 %   $ 209,466     $ 183,375     14.2 %

Ceded premiums written

     (18,706 )     (23,500 )   (20.4 )%     (60,892 )     (68,240 )   (10.8 )%
                                    

Net premiums written

     50,600       41,927     20.7 %     148,574       115,135     29.0 %

Increase in net unearned premiums

     (5,147 )     (6,956 )   (26.0 )%     (16,746 )     (20,906 )   (19.9 )%
                                    

Net premiums earned

     45,453       34,971     30.0 %     131,828       94,229     39.9 %

Net investment income

     5,812       4,512     28.8 %     16,492       11,635     41.7 %

Realized investment gains (losses).

     (43 )     (11 )   290.9 %     (26 )     (24 )   9.3 %
                                    

Total revenues

     51,222       39,472     29.8 %     148,294       105,840     40.1 %
                                    

Costs and Expenses:

            

Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred

     25,965       24,205     7.3 %     76,688       65,236     17.6 %

Commissions and brokerage expenses

     5,598       4,166     34.4 %     17,107       10,154     68.5 %

Other underwriting, acquisition and operating expenses

     7,241       5,305     36.5 %     20,486       15,417     32.9 %

Other expenses

     1,412       42     3261.3 %     4,226       320     1220.6 %
                                    

Total costs and expenses

     40,216       33,718     19.3 %     118,507       91,127     30.0 %
                                    

Earnings before income taxes

     11,006       5,754     91.3 %     29,787       14,713     102.5 %

Income tax expense

     2,645       1,748     51.3 %     8,454       4,542     86.1 %
                                    

Net earnings

   $ 8,361     $ 4,006     108.7 %   $ 21,333     $ 10,171     109.7 %
                                    
                 Change
2007 vs 2006
                Change
2007 vs 2006
 

Underwriting ratios to net premiums earned:

            

Loss ratio (1)

     57.1 %     69.2 %   (12.1 )%     58.2 %     69.2 %   (11.0 )%
                                            

Commissions and brokerage expense ratio (2)

     12.3 %     11.9 %   0.4 %     13.0 %     10.8 %   2.2 %

Other underwriting, acquisition and operating expense ratio (3)

     16.0 %     15.2 %   0.8 %     15.5 %     16.4 %   (0.9 )%
                                            

Total expense ratio (4)

     28.3 %     27.1 %   1.2 %     28.5 %     27.2 %   1.3 %
                                            

Combined ratio (5)

     85.4 %     96.3 %   (10.9 )%     86.7 %     96.4 %   (9.7 )%
                                            

Ceded premiums written/gross premiums written

     27.0 %     35.9 %   (8.9 )%     29.1 %     37.2 %   (8.1 )%

Net premiums earned/net premiums written

     89.8 %     83.4 %   6.4 %     88.7 %     81.8 %   6.9 %

(1) Loss ratio is calculated by dividing total losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred by net premiums earned.
(2) Commissions and brokerage expense ratio is calculated by dividing total commissions and brokerage expenses by net premiums earned.
(3) Other underwriting, acquisition and operating expense ratio is calculated by dividing total other underwriting, acquisition and operating expenses by net premiums earned.

 

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(4) Total expense ratio is the sum of the commissions and brokerage expense ratio and the other underwriting, acquisition and operating expense ratio.
(5) Combined ratio is the sum of the loss ratio and the total expense ratio.

 

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Three and Nine Month Periods Ended September 30, 2007 Compared to Three and Nine Month Periods Ended September 30, 2006

Net earnings. Darwin reported net earnings of $8.4 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2007 compared to $4.0 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2006 and net earnings of $21.3 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 compared to $10.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2006. The increase in net earnings is due primarily to significant increases in net premiums earned (which is the portion of net premiums written that is recognized for accounting purposes as income during a period), favorable development of prior year loss reserves, and higher net investment income; partially offset by an increase in total costs and expenses in the third quarter and first nine months of 2007 compared to the third quarter and first nine months of 2006. Darwin reported a combined ratio of 85.4% in the third quarter of 2007 compared with a combined ratio of 96.3% in the third quarter of 2006 and a combined ratio of 86.7% for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 compared with a combined ratio of 96.4% for the nine months ended September 30, 2006. The improvement in combined ratios primarily reflects the favorable development of prior year loss reserves. Darwin recognized approximately $3.6 million in earnings ($2.4 million, net of tax) in the third quarter of 2007, from the change in estimate of prior year loss reserves and the corresponding ceded premium, net of incentive compensation and profit-sharing expenses. For the third quarter of 2006, Darwin recognized approximately $0.4 million ($0.2 million, net of taxes) from the change in estimate of prior year loss reserves and the corresponding ceded premium, net of incentive compensation expenses. For the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, Darwin recognized approximately $8.8 million in earnings ($5.7 million, net of tax) for 2007 and approximately $1.0 million ($0.6 million, net of taxes) for 2006, from the change in estimate of prior year loss reserves and the corresponding ceded premium, net of incentive compensation expenses. Darwin’s net investment income increased to $5.8 million in the third quarter of 2007 as compared to $4.5 million in the third quarter of 2006 as a result of an increase in average invested assets, and increased to $16.5 million in the first nine months of 2007 as compared to $11.6 million in the first nine months of 2006 as a result of an increase in average invested assets.

Gross premiums written. Gross premiums written were $69.3 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2007, compared to $65.4 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2006, an increase of $3.9 million, or 5.9%. Gross premiums written were $209.5 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 compared to $183.4 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2006, an increase of $26.1 million, or 14.2%. The increase in gross premiums written during the third quarter and first nine months of 2007 compared to the third quarter and first nine months of 2006 reflects growth primarily in Darwin’s E&O line of business. Of the $69.3 million of gross premiums written in the third quarter of 2007, approximately $29.1 million was attributable to medical malpractice liability business, $32.3 million was attributable to E&O business, $7.5 million was attributable to D&O business and $0.4 million was attributable to general liability business. Of the $209.5 million of gross premiums written in the first nine months of 2007, approximately $74.8 million was attributable to medical malpractice liability business, $106.7 million was attributable to E&O business, $27.5 million was attributable to D&O business and $0.5 million was attributable to general liability business.

Our medical malpractice liability premiums decreased by $1.6 million to $29.1 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2007, compared to $30.7 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2006. This resulted from the writing of new medical malpractice liability policies for gross premiums of approximately $5.4 million, primarily in our hospital professional liability and miscellaneous medical facility classes of business, and the renewal of existing policies for $23.7 million of medical malpractice liability premiums. The decrease resulted from lower renewals and competitive pricing pressures. Medical malpractice liability premiums increased by $1.7 million to $74.8 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2007, compared to $73.1 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2006. This increase resulted from the writing of new medical malpractice liability policies for gross premiums of approximately $18.2 million, primarily in our hospital professional liability and miscellaneous medical facility classes of business, and the renewal of existing policies for $56.6 million of medical malpractice liability premiums. Due to competitive pricing pressures, Darwin experienced an average decrease in rate for our medical malpractice liability renewal business in the third quarter of 2007 of approximately 10.1% when compared to the third quarter of 2006, and experienced an average decrease in rate for our medical malpractice liability renewal business in the first nine months of 2007 of approximately 9.1% when compared to the first nine months of 2006.

Our E&O gross premiums written increased by $6.6 million to $32.3 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2007, compared to $25.7 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2006 and increased by $25.6 million to $106.7 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2007, compared to $81.1 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2006. This increase resulted from the writing of new E&O policies of approximately $14.2 million and the renewal of policies for $18.1 million of gross premiums written for the quarter ended September 30, 2007 and the writing of new E&O policies for approximately $46.4 million and the renewal of policies for $60.3 million of gross premiums written for the nine months ended September 30, 2007. New business writings were primarily in our managed care, psychologists, lawyers and insurance agents E&O classes of business. Darwin experienced a decrease in average rate for our E&O business in the third quarter of

 

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2007 of approximately 12.1% when compared to the third quarter of 2006 and experienced a decrease in average rate for our E&O business in the first nine months of 2007 of approximately 11.7% when compared to the first nine months of 2006. These decreases in rate were primarily the result of competitive pricing pressures in our managed care, lawyers and insurance agents E&O classes of business.

Our D&O gross premiums written decreased by $1.5 million to $7.5 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2007, compared to $9.0 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2006 and decreased by $1.7 million to $27.5 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2007, compared to $29.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2006. This decrease resulted from competitive pricing pressures. We wrote new policies for D&O gross premiums written of approximately $2.5 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2007 and $9.1 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2007, primarily for publicly-held companies with market capitalizations of less than $2 billion, and we renewed policies for $5.0 million of gross premiums written for the quarter ended September 30, 2007 and $18.4 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2007. Our average premium rate for D&O business renewed in the third quarter of 2007 decreased by 10.9% when compared to the third quarter of 2006 and decreased by 11.3% when compared to the first nine months of 2006.

Ceded premiums written. Ceded premiums written were $18.7 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2007, compared to $23.5 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2006, a decrease of $4.8 million or 20.4%. Ceded premiums written were $60.9 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2007, compared to $68.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2006, a decrease of $7.3 million or 10.8%. The ratio of ceded premiums written to gross premiums written was 27.0% for the quarter ended September 30, 2007 compared to 35.9% for the quarter ended September 30, 2006 and was 29.1% for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 compared to 37.2% for the nine months ended September 30, 2006. Ceded premiums written were reduced in the quarter by $0.8 million due to a favorable adjustment of the 2003 through 2006 accident year loss results and were reduced for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 by $5.0 million due to the favorable adjustments for 2003 through 2006 accident year loss results. The decrease in our estimate of expected ultimate losses incurred for the 2003 through 2006 accident years reduced our estimated ultimate ceded premium cost on certain of our variable rated reinsurance contracts in-force during the 2003 through 2006 accident years. The decrease in ceded premiums written as a percentage of gross premiums written was attributable to the adjustment to ceded premiums described above, the growth in classes of business for which Darwin ceded lesser amounts under our reinsurance contracts and due to the restructuring of our reinsurance program for policies written beginning on April 1, 2007. This new reinsurance program utilized less variable rated reinsurance and will generally reduce the overall cost of reinsurance on each policy.

Net premiums written. Net premiums written were $50.6 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2007, compared to $41.9 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2006, an increase of $8.7 million or 20.7%. Net premiums written were $148.6 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2007, compared to $115.1 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2006, an increase of $33.5 million or 29.0%. The growth in net premiums written is attributable to the growth in gross premiums written and the decrease in ceded premiums written.

Net premiums earned. Net premiums earned were $45.5 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2007 compared to $35.0 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2006, an increase of $10.5 million or 30.0%, and were $131.8 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 compared to $94.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2006, an increase of $37.6 million or 39.9%. The increase in net premiums earned is attributable to the growth in net premiums written as described above. The ratio of net premiums earned to net premiums written was 89.8% for the quarter ended September 30, 2007 and 83.4% for the quarter ended September 30, 2006 and was 88.7% for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 81.8% for the nine months ended September 30, 2006. The increase in the ratio of net premiums earned to net premiums written for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007 compared to the same three and nine month periods in 2006 was due primarily to the reduction of ceded premiums as discussed above.

Net investment income and realized investment gains (losses). Net investment income increased to $5.8 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2007 compared to $4.5 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2006, an increase of $1.3 million, or 28.8%, and net investment income increased to $16.5 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 compared to $11.6 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2006, an increase of $4.9 million, or 41.7%. These increases in net investment income were the result of an increase in average invested assets as of September 30, 2007 compared to September 30, 2006 primarily due to the growth in our business. The book investment yield was 4.71% on investments held at September 30, 2007 as compared to 4.94% on investments held at September 30, 2006. The decrease in book investment yield was primarily attributable to the investment of operating cash flows in mostly lower yielding tax-exempt municipal fixed maturity securities. Darwin recognized realized losses of $43 thousand in the third quarter of 2007 compared to $11 thousand of realized losses in the third quarter of 2006 and realized losses of $26 thousand in the first nine months of 2007 compared to $24 thousand in realized losses in the first nine months of 2006.

 

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Losses and LAE incurred. Losses and LAE incurred was $26.0 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2007 compared to $24.2 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2006, an increase of $1.8 million or 7.3%. Losses and LAE incurred was $76.7 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 compared to $65.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2006, an increase of $11.5 million or 17.6%. Losses and LAE incurred increased over the comparable periods for the prior year due to the estimated losses on the increased premium volume, offset by actual and anticipated reinsurance recoveries for the losses (including a provision for recoveries on IBNR losses and LAE). The increase in losses and LAE primarily reflects increased net premiums earned. During the third quarter of 2007, Darwin recognized favorable loss development of $3.8 million net of anticipated reinsurance recoveries on the 2003 through 2006 accident years. For the nine months ended September 30, 2007, Darwin recognized favorable loss development of $7.7 million net of anticipated reinsurance recoveries on the 2003 through 2006 accident years. Darwin’s loss ratio for the quarter ended September 30, 2007 decreased to 57.1% compared to 69.2% for the quarter ended September 30, 2006. Darwin’s loss ratio for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 decreased to 58.2% compared to 69.2% for the nine months ended September 30, 2006. The decrease in loss ratio for the third quarter of 2007 compared to the same period in 2006 was primarily due to adjustments totaling $4.6 million ($3.8 million to net losses incurred and $0.8 million to ceded premiums earned) due to Darwin’s revision of its ultimate loss ratio on its 2003 through 2006 accident years. The decrease in loss ratio for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 compared to the same period in 2006 was primarily due to the adjustments totaling $12.7 million ($7.7 million to net losses incurred and $5.0 million to ceded premiums earned) due to Darwin’s revision of its ultimate loss ratio on its 2003 through 2006 accident years.

Commissions and brokerage expenses. Commissions and brokerage expenses were $5.6 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2007 compared to $4.2 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2006, an increase of $1.4 million or 34.4%. Commissions and brokerage expenses were $17.1 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 compared to $10.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2006, an increase of $6.9 million or 68.5%. The ratio of commissions and brokerage expenses to net premiums earned increased to 12.3% for the quarter ended September 30, 2007 from 11.9% for the quarter ended September 30, 2006 and increased to 13.0% for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 from 10.8% for the nine months ended September 30, 2006. The increase in commissions and brokerage expenses is attributable to growth in net premiums earned as well as the increase in the overall commissions paid as a percentage of net premiums earned. The increase in the commission and brokerage expense ratio for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2007 compared to the same periods of 2006 is due to changes in mix of business as well as profit sharing expenses associated with certain program administrators whose arrangements allow for participation in the favorable loss development recognized in the third quarter and first nine months of 2007 and the higher rate for the Capitol Companies policy issuance fee in 2007. For certain of our classes of business, particularly business written for insureds with smaller average premiums and risk profiles, the commission rate was higher. In addition, Darwin raised its commission rates on new business during the first quarter of 2007, resulting in higher average commission rates being paid on our overall business.

Other underwriting, acquisition and operating expenses. Other underwriting, acquisition and operating expenses were $7.2 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2007 compared to $5.3 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2006, an increase of $1.9 million or 36.5%. Other underwriting, acquisition and operating expenses were $20.5 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 compared to $15.4 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2006, an increase of $5.1 million or 32.9%. These increases are primarily attributable to an increase in personnel costs incurred to support the growth in premiums and general expenses incurred in connection with the expansion of our business. The ratio of other underwriting, acquisition and operating expenses to premiums earned increased to 16.0% for the quarter ended September 30, 2007 from 15.2% for the quarter ended September 30, 2006. The ratio of other underwriting, acquisition and operating expenses to premiums earned decreased to 15.5% from 16.4% for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 compared to the nine months ended September 30, 2006.

Darwin’s total expense ratio increased to 28.3% for the quarter ended September 30, 2007 compared to 27.1% for the quarter ended September 30, 2006. The increase is attributable to an increase in commission expenses incurred, as well as personnel costs incurred to support the growth in premiums and general expenses incurred in connection with the expansion of our business. Darwin’s total expense ratio increased to 28.5% for the first nine months of September 30, 2007 compared to 27.2% for the nine months ended September 30, 2006. The increase in the total expense ratio for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 is due primarily to the increase in commission expense partially offset by decreases in operating expenses as a percentage of net premiums earned. Growth in our business has been at a greater rate than our operating expenses, which has allowed us to spread our other underwriting, acquisition and operating expenses over a larger premium base.

Other expenses. Other expenses incurred were $1.4 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2007 compared to $0.04 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2006, an increase of $1.4 million. Other expenses incurred were $4.2 million for the first nine months ended September 30, 2007 compared to $0.3 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2006, an

 

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increase of $3.9 million. These expenses were primarily attributable to Darwin’s long-term incentive plan which is based on net underwriting profitability. The increase in the third quarter and first nine months of 2007 compared to the third quarter and first nine months of 2006 is primarily due to the more favorable underwriting results primarily attributable to the favorable loss development recognized in the third quarter of 2007, as noted above.

Income tax expense. Income tax expense incurred was $2.6 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2007 compared to $1.7 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2006, an increase of $0.9 million. Income tax expense incurred was $8.5 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 compared to $4.5 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2006, an increase of $4.0 million. These increases were due to the increased profitability for the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2007 compared to the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2006, partially offset by a decrease in the effective tax rate and a change in estimate relating to a tax provision to tax return adjustment recorded in the third quarter of 2007. The effective tax rate decreased to 24.0% for the quarter ended September 30, 2007 from 30.4% for the quarter ended September 30, 2006. The effective tax rate decreased to 28.4% for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 from 30.9% for the nine months ended September 30, 2006. The decrease in the effective tax rates was attributable primarily to an increase in the portion of net investment income received on tax-exempt municipal securities and a true up for the 2006 income tax provision to the income tax return filed in the third quarter of 2007. This true up resulted primarily from our estimated 2006 state income tax rate being higher than actual.

Liquidity and Capital Resources

DPUI Only

General. Upon completion of our reorganization on January 1, 2006, DPUI became the ultimate parent of Darwin Group, DNA and Darwin Select. DPUI provides underwriting, claims, management, and administrative services to DNA and Darwin Select in exchange for management fees. The management fees are determined based upon agreements between DPUI and each of DNA and Darwin Select, which have been filed with and approved by the insurance departments responsible for regulatory oversight of each of such insurance companies. These agreements provide for payments to DPUI at a rate equal to 32.0% of gross premiums written on business produced by DPUI and written on the policy of the relevant insurance company or, if lower, in an allocable amount based upon the total operating expense actually incurred by DPUI. Additional payment to DPUI is due upon the achievement of profitability levels that would trigger a payout under our LTIP.

Dividends. State insurance laws restrict the ability of our insurance company subsidiaries to declare dividends. State insurance regulators require insurance companies to maintain specified levels of statutory capital and surplus. Generally, dividends may only be paid out of earned surplus, and the amount of an insurer’s surplus following payment of any dividends must be reasonable in relation to the insurer’s outstanding liabilities and adequate to meet its financial needs. Further, prior approval of the insurance department of its state of domicile is required before either of our insurance company subsidiaries can declare and pay an “extraordinary dividend” to us.

DNA received approval from the Delaware Insurance Department to pay DPUI an extraordinary dividend of $3.5 million on February 28, 2007, which was paid to DPUI in March 2007.

Darwin Select has approximately $2.3 million available in 2007 for ordinary dividends to DNA without prior regulatory approval. DNA would not be permitted to dividend this amount to DPUI without receiving approval from the Delaware Insurance Department. Darwin Select did not pay any dividends in the first nine months of 2007 or in 2006.

Credit Agreement. On March 23, 2007, Darwin entered into a three-year secured credit agreement with a bank syndicate (Credit Agreement), providing commitments for revolving credit loans in an aggregate principal amount of up to $25.0 million. The loan is secured by the common stock of Darwin Group. Borrowing under the Credit Agreement is intended to be used for general corporate purposes and for strategic merger and acquisition purposes. The cost of funds drawn down would be at an annual interest rate of LIBOR plus 112.5 basis points. The Credit Agreement also has a commitment fee of 0.25% per annum for any unused amount of the aggregate principal amount. The Credit Agreement contains certain covenants requiring DPUI to maintain a 2.0 debt interest coverage ratio, a maximum ratio of net premiums written to surplus of 2.0 to 1.0, a covenant limiting DPUI’s debt to total capital ratio to 35%, and a covenant prohibiting the payment of dividends on its equity securities. Darwin must also have a minimum net worth equal to 80% of year end December 31, 2006 GAAP net worth plus an amount equal to 50% of subsequent earned profits. At September 30, 2007, Darwin was in full compliance with the Credit Agreement’s requirements and restrictions. There were no borrowings outstanding under the Credit Agreement as of September 30, 2007.

 

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Off Balance Sheet Arrangements. Darwin did not have any off balance sheet arrangements as of September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006.

Darwin Consolidated Financial Position

Capital Resources. Total stockholders’ equity increased to $239.8 million as of September 30, 2007 from $217.9 million as of December 31, 2006, an increase of $21.9 million or 10.1%. The increase was primarily due to the net income for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 of $21.3 million, and $1.18 million of stock-based plans compensation, excess tax benefit and options exercised during the period, offset by $0.5 million of unrealized losses after taxes on equity and fixed maturity securities.

Capital Transactions. Effective as of January 1, 2006, 197,178 shares of Series B Convertible Preferred Stock with an aggregate liquidation preference of $197.2 million were issued to Alleghany in exchange for all of the outstanding common stock of Darwin Group held by Alleghany. In addition, Alleghany exchanged its 6,600,000 shares of common stock of DPUI for 9,560 additional shares of Series A Preferred Stock having an additional aggregate liquidation preference of $0.2 million.

On April 1, 2006, the Company declared a dividend of $2.5 million in the form of Series C Preferred Stock to the holders of Series B Preferred Stock.

The Company’s registration statement filed with the SEC in connection with an initial public offering of common stock was declared effective on May 18, 2006 for the issuance of 5,217,391 shares of common stock at an initial offering price of $16.00 per share. Subsequently, the underwriters of the initial public offering exercised their over-allotment option in which an additional 782,609 shares of common stock were issued at the $16.00 per share initial public offering price. Gross proceeds from the sale of the 6,000,000 shares of common stock were $96.0 million. Total costs associated with the initial public offering included $9.7 million of underwriting costs and offering expenses. Net proceeds from the offering, after deducting underwriting costs and offering expenses, were $86.3 million.

The net proceeds from the offering were used to redeem all of the shares of Series A Preferred Stock at the aggregate liquidation preference of $2.3 million and all of the shares of Series C Convertible Preferred Stock with an aggregate liquidation preference of $2.5 million. The remaining proceeds of $81.5 million were used to redeem a portion of the shares of Series B Convertible Preferred Stock at a redemption price per share, on an as-converted basis, equal to the public offering price less underwriting costs ($14.88 per share) or 5,478,904 shares of common stock on an as-converted basis. The remaining outstanding shares of the Series B Convertible Preferred Stock were converted into 9,371,096 shares of common stock. As a result of the Company’s initial public offering and use of net proceeds of the offering, Alleghany’s ownership in the Company was reduced to approximately 55.0%.

The Company filed a shelf registration statement on Form S-3 with the SEC which became effective August 20, 2007. The Form S-3 registered for possible future sale up to 9,371,096 shares of Darwin common stock (equal to approximately 55% of the total issued and outstanding), all of which are currently owned by AIHL, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Alleghany. The filing was in response to AIHL’s exercise of its demand registration right under the Registration Rights Agreement dated May 18, 2006. In the demand registration notice, AIHL advised that it had no present plan to sell any of its Darwin common stock, but that it was exercising its registration right in order to provide flexibility in the event that it decides to sell some or all of its shares in the future. The filing of the shelf registration does not obligate AIHL to sell any shares, and Darwin would not receive any proceeds from a sale of shares by AIHL.

Book Value Per Common Share. As of September 30, 2007, DPUI’s book value per common share was $14.08 per share and the tangible book value per common share was $13.66 per share. This compares to the book value per common share of $12.78 per share and the tangible book value per common share of $12.35 per share as of December 31, 2006. Tangible book value per common share is determined by dividing our tangible book value (total assets excluding intangible assets less total liabilities) by the number of our common shares outstanding on the date that the book value is determined. The Company believes that the change in tangible book value per common share over time is an important indicator for investors as to the long-term common share value of the Company.

Cash Flows. We have three primary types of cash flows: (1) cash flows from operating activities, which consist mainly of cash generated by our underwriting operations and income earned on our investment portfolio, (2) cash flows from investing activities related to the purchase, sale and maturity of investments as well as realized gains and losses on sales of investments, and (3) cash flows from financing activities that impact our capital structure, such as capital contributions, changes in paid-in capital and shares outstanding.

 

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For the nine months ended September 30, 2007, there was a net decrease in cash of $20.4 million as the Company invested excess cash in equities, fixed income securities and short-term investments. Cash flow from operating activities increased in the first nine months of 2007 to $101.5 million compared to $89.4 million for the first nine months of 2006, due primarily to an increase in premium volume and limited paid loss activity on current and prior accident years. Cash flows used in investing activities increased in the first nine months of 2007 to $122.2 million compared to $72.4 million for the first nine months of 2006 primarily due to the fact that in 2007 a greater amount of cash flows generated from operations and available cash balances was invested in our investment portfolio. Cash flow from financing activities was $0.3 million in the first nine months of 2007 and 2006, due largely to excess tax benefits on restricted stock vesting in the periods.

The following table summarizes these cash flows for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006:

 

     Nine Months Ended
September 30,
 
     2007     2006  
     (Dollars in thousands)  

Cash flows from operating activities

   $ 101,475     $ 89,354  

Cash flows used in investing activities

     (122,235 )     (72,404 )

Cash flows from financing activities

     316       302  
                

Net increase (decrease) in cash

   $ (20,444 )   $ 17,252  
                

Paid losses and loss adjustment expenses

   $ 12,958     $ 6,630  
                

At September 30, 2007, we had cash, short-term investments and other investments of $528.6 million, including cash, short-term investments and fixed maturities due within one year of approximately $81.0 million and fixed maturities of $89.0 million maturing within one to five years. Total cash, short-term investments and fixed maturities due within one year represent 15.3% of Darwin’s total investment portfolio and cash balances at September 30, 2007. At December 31, 2006, we had cash, short-term investments and other investments of $426.3 million. Included in our December 31, 2006 portfolio were cash, short-term investments and fixed maturities due within one year of approximately $103.5 million and fixed maturities of $67.6 million maturing within one to five years. Total cash, short-term investments and fixed maturities due within one year represented 24.3% of Darwin’s total investment portfolio and cash balances at December 31, 2006. In accordance with our investment guidelines in 2007, our external investment manager has purchased longer-duration fixed maturities with a portion of these funds. We believe that cash generated by operations and cash generated by investments will provide sufficient sources of liquidity to meet our anticipated needs over the foreseeable future.

Contractual Obligations. We have certain obligations to make future payments under contracts and commitments. At September 30, 2007, long-term aggregate contractual obligations and commitments were as follows:

 

Contractual Obligations

   Total    Within 1 Year    More Than
1 Year But
Within 3 Years
   More Than
3 Years But
Within 5 Years
   More Than
5 Years
     (Dollars in thousands)

Operating lease obligations

   $ 2,903    $ 707    $ 1,494    $ 615    $ 87

Other long-term liabilities reflected on consolidated balance sheet under GAAP(1)

     6,620      1,840      4,292      488      —  

Loss and LAE reserves

     357,016      87,804      174,693      37,105      57,414
                                  

Total

   $ 366,539    $ 90,351    $ 180,479    $ 38,208    $ 57,501
                                  

(1) Other long-term liabilities primarily reflect Darwin’s long-term incentive plan obligations.

Darwin has obligations to make certain payments for losses and LAE pursuant to insurance policies we issue. These future payments are reflected as reserves on our financial statements. With respect to reserves for losses and LAE, there is typically no minimum contractual commitment associated with insurance contracts and the timing and ultimate amount of actual claims related to these reserves is uncertain. The table above estimates the expected payment pattern of loss and LAE

 

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reserves. Given our limited loss experience and operating history, we have utilized industry experience in estimating these amounts. Our actual future payment experience could differ materially. For additional information regarding reserves for losses and LAE, including information regarding the timing of payments of these expenses, see “Critical Accounting Estimates—Loss and LAE Reserves.”

Investments. We utilize a third-party investment manager, General Re-New England Asset Management, to manage our investments. We have provided our investment manager with investment guidelines and our Board of Directors reviews our investment performance and the investment manager’s compliance with our investment guidelines on a quarterly basis. We believe that we have a conservative approach to our investment and capital management strategy with an objective of providing a stable source of income and preserving capital to offset underwriting risk. We maintain an investment portfolio representing funds that have not yet been paid out as claims, as well as the capital we hold for our stockholders. As of September 30, 2007, our investment portfolio had a fair value of $522.1 million, an increase of $122.7 million over the December 31, 2006 investment portfolio fair value of $399.4 million. The increase in invested assets at September 30, 2007 when compared to December 31, 2006 was primarily due to investment of a portion of the December 31, 2006 cash balances and cash flows from operations. Our investment portfolio consists of fixed maturities, preferred stock and short-term investment securities. We currently do not have any common stock equity securities in our portfolio.

The following table presents the fair value amounts and percentage distributions of investments as of September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006:

 

     September 30, 2007     December 31, 2006  
     Fair Value    %     Fair Value    %  
     (Dollars in thousands)  

Equity securities:

          

Preferred stock

   $ 3,936    0.8 %   $ —      —    

Fixed maturities securities:

          

U.S. Government and government agencies

     21,948    4.2 %     22,239    5.6 %

State and municipal

     253,348    48.5 %     129,743    32.5 %

Mortgage/asset-backed securities

     111,258    21.3 %     106,615    26.7 %

Corporate and other

     61,576    11.8 %     71,249    17.8 %
                          

Total fixed maturities

     448,130    85.8 %     329,846    82.6 %

Short term investments

     70,059    13.4 %     69,537    17.4 %
                          

Total investments

   $ 522,125    100.0 %   $ 399,383    100.0 %
                          

The following table presents the book and tax-equivalent yields on our investments at September 30, 2007 and 2006:

 

     At September 30,  
     2007     2006  

Book yield on all investments

   4.71 %   4.94 %
            

Tax-equivalent yield on all investments

   5.64 %   5.50 %
            

The table below compares total return on our total investments to a comparable public index. While there are no directly comparable indices to our portfolio, the Lehman Intermediate Aggregate Bond Index is a widely used industry benchmark. Both our performance and the index include changes in unrealized gains and losses.

 

     For the Nine Months
Ended September 30,
 
     2007     2006  

Return on total investments

   3.91 %   4.28 %
            

Lehman Intermediate Aggregate Bond Index

   4.01 %   3.27 %
            

 

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Our fixed-income portfolio is invested in investment grade bonds. The National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) assigns ratings that range from Class 1 (highest quality) to Class 6 (lowest quality). The following table shows our fixed income portfolio by independent rating agency and comparable NAIC designations as of September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006:

 

Financial Strength Ratings (1)

  

NAIC
Designation

   September 30, 2007     December 31, 2006  
      Fair Value    %
Total
    Fair Value    %
Total
 
          (Dollars in thousands)  

AAA

   1    $ 335,532    74.8 %   $ 233,228    70.7 %

AA +

   1      25,242    5.6 %     11,603    3.5 %

AA

   1      27,753    6.2 %     21,278    6.5 %

AA-

   1      10,258    2.3 %     10,180    3.1 %

A+

   1      9,674    2.2 %     13,379    4.1 %

A

   1      18,900    4.2 %     18,865    5.7 %

A-

   1      12,886    2.9 %     17,403    5.3 %

BBB+

   2      7,424    1.7 %     3,415    1.0 %

BBB

   2      461    0.1 %     495    0.2 %
                             

Total fixed maturities

      $ 448,130    100.0 %   $ 329,846    100.0 %
                             

(1) Ratings are the lowest rating assigned by Standard & Poor’s, a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc, or by Moody’s Investors Service. Where not available from either rating agency, ratings are determined by other independent sources.

The maturity distribution of fixed maturity securities held as of September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006 are shown below. Actual maturities may differ from contractual maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay obligations with or without call or prepayment penalties.

 

     At September 30, 2007     At December 31, 2006  
     Fair Value    %     Fair Value    %  
     (Dollars in thousands)  

Due in one year or less

   $ 4,553    1.0 %   $ 7,106    2.2 %

Due after one year through five years

     88,982    19.9 %     67,565    20.5 %

Due after five years through ten years

     72,007    16.1 %     32,003    9.7 %

Due after ten years

     171,330    38.2 %     116,557    35.3 %

Mortgage backed securities

     111,258    24.8 %     106,615    32.3 %
                          

Total fixed maturities

   $ 448,130    100.0 %   $ 329,846    100.0 %
                          

As of September 30, 2007, the average option adjusted duration of our fixed-income portfolio was 4.01 years compared to 3.99 years as of December 31, 2006. The concept of average option adjusted duration takes into consideration the probability of having the various option features associated with many of the fixed-income investments we hold exercised. Fixed maturity securities are frequently issued with call provisions which provide the ability to adjust the maturity of the security at the option of the issuer. During the first nine months of 2007, we decided to invest in tax-exempt fixed maturities with slightly longer durations where we believed the tax equivalent yield provided superior investment return opportunities.

Impairments of Investment Securities

We regularly review investment securities for impairment in accordance with our impairment policy, which includes both quantitative and qualitative criteria. Quantitative criteria include length of time and amount that each security is in an unrealized loss position, and for fixed maturity securities, whether the issuer is in compliance with terms and covenants of the security. Our qualitative criteria include the financial strength and specific prospects for the issuer as well as our intent to hold the security until recovery.

An investment in a preferred equity or fixed maturity security which is available for sale is impaired if its fair value falls below its cost, and the decline is considered to be other-than-temporary. Darwin’s assessment of a decline in fair value

 

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includes a current judgment as to the financial position and future prospects of the issuing entity of the security, the length of time and extent to which fair value has been below cost, and Darwin’s ability and intent to hold the investment for a period of time sufficient to allow for an anticipated recovery. As of September 30, 2007, Darwin did not own any equity or fixed maturity securities which were considered to be impaired.

The following table presents the gross unrealized losses and estimated fair values of our investment securities, aggregated by investment type and length of time that individual investment securities have been in a continuous unrealized loss position, as of September 30, 2007:

 

     September 30, 2007  
     Less Than 12 Months     12 Months or More     Total  

Type of investment

   Fair
Value
   Gross
Unrealized
Loss
    Fair
Value
   Gross
Unrealized
Loss
    Fair
Value
   Gross
Unrealized
Loss
 
     (Dollars in thousands)  

Equities:

               

Preferred stock

   $ 3,936    $ (64 )   $ —      $ —       $ 3,936    $ (64 )

Fixed maturities:

               

U.S. Government bonds

     248      (1 )     4,447      (25 )     4,695      (26 )

State and municipal bonds

     61,112      (380 )     1,893      (18 )     63,005      (398 )

Mortgage/asset-backed securities

     67,376      (640 )     9,355      (99 )     76,730      (739 )

Corporate bonds and notes

     23,036      (147 )     7,097      (88 )     30,133      (235 )
                                             

Total fixed maturities

   $ 155,708    $ (1,232 )   $ 22,792    $ (230 )   $ 178,499    $ (1,462 )
                                             

The unrealized losses on preferred equity and fixed maturity securities are primarily interest rate related. The Company’s unrealized loss increased $0.6 million from December 31, 2006 to September 30, 2007 due to the change in the market interest rates during the period. Each of the securities with an unrealized loss at September 30, 2007 has a fair value that is greater than 92.5% of its cost. Of the 27 securities that have been in an unrealized loss position for longer than 12 months, 5 are U.S. Treasury securities and each of the remaining securities has a fair value that is greater than 96.4% of its amortized cost. None of the fixed maturity securities with unrealized losses has ever missed, or been delinquent on, a scheduled principal or interest payment, and none is rated below investment grade. Based on management’s review of the factors above, no securities are considered to be other-than-temporarily impaired.

Given recent rating agency actions on sub-prime securities, we performed additional procedures to review for any impairments on our mortgage/asset-backed securities that are classified as sub-prime mortgage obligations. As of September 30, 2007, we hold sub-prime fixed income securities totaling $3.2 million. All of these securities (6 in total) are currently rated AAA and none is currently under watch by a major rating agency. The remaining average life of each of these securities is less than 0.4 years and all are currently paying down their balances. The total unrealized loss on these securities as of September 30, 2007 was less than a $13,000. In addition to the sub-prime mortgage obligations, we hold $9.6 million of Alt-A mortgage obligations, commonly known as low documentation mortgages, and generally considered to be of lower risk than sub-prime securities. Similar to the sub-prime mortgage obligations, all of these securities (7 in total) are currently rated AAA, have a remaining average life of less than 1.25 years (except one with a remaining average life of 4.28 years) and total unrealized loss as of September 30, 2007 of less than $42,000. As such, we do not believe we have any other-than-temporarily impaired fixed income securities classified as “sub-prime” or Alt-A mortgage obligations.

 

Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk

Market risk is the risk of loss from adverse changes in market prices that results from factors such as changes in interest rates, foreign currency exchange rates and commodity prices. The primary risk related to our non-trading financial instruments is the risk of loss associated with adverse changes in interest rates. Our investment portfolios may contain, from time to time, debt securities with fixed maturities that are exposed to both risk related to adverse changes in interest rates and/or individual credit exposure changes, as well as equity securities which are subject to fluctuations in market value. Darwin has purchased no equity securities to date and holds its debt securities as available for sale. Any changes in the fair value of these securities, net of tax, would be reflected in Darwin’s accumulated other comprehensive income as a component of stockholders’ equity.

 

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The table below presents a sensitivity analysis of the debt securities of Darwin that are sensitive to changes in interest rates. Sensitivity analysis is defined as the measurement of potential changes in future earnings, fair values or cash flows of market sensitive instruments resulting from one or more selected hypothetical changes in interest rates over a selected time. In this sensitivity analysis model, we measure the potential change of +/-100, +/-200, and +/-300 basis point range of change in interest rates to determine the hypothetical change in fair value of the financial instruments included in the analysis. The change in fair value is determined by calculating hypothetical September 30, 2007 ending prices based on yields adjusted to reflect the hypothetical changes in interest rates, comparing such hypothetical ending prices to actual ending prices, and multiplying the difference by the principal amount of the security.

Sensitivity Analysis

At September 30, 2007

 

Interest Rate Shifts (in basis points)

   -300     -200     -100     0     100     200     300  
     (Dollars in thousands)  

Fixed Maturity Securities

              

Portfolio value

   $ 511,586     $ 489,762     $ 468,834     $ 448,130     $ 427,605     $ 407,619     $ 388,439  

Change

     63,456       41,632       20,704       —         (20,525 )     (40,511 )     (59,691 )

% Change

     14.16 %     9.29 %     4.62 %     0.00 %     (4.58 )%     (9.04 )%     (13.32 )%

 

Item 4. Controls and Procedures

Darwin maintains disclosure controls and procedures (as that term is defined in Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (Exchange Act)) that are designed to ensure that information required to be disclosed in the Company’s reports under the Exchange Act is recorded, processed, summarized and reported within the time periods specified in the SEC rules and forms, and that such information is accumulated and communicated to the Company’s management, including its Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, as appropriate, to allow timely decisions regarding required disclosures. Any controls and procedures, no matter how well designed and operated, can provide only reasonable assurance of achieving the desired control objectives. The Company’s management, with the participation of its Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, has evaluated the effectiveness of the design and operation of the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures as of September 30, 2007. Based upon that evaluation and subject to the foregoing, the Company’s Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer concluded that the design and operation of the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures provided reasonable assurance that the disclosure controls and procedures are effective to accomplish their objectives.

During the third quarter of 2007, the Company’s Audit Committee approved the creation of a Disclosure Committee comprised of the Company’s controller, internal auditor, chief underwriting officer, chief actuary and corporate counsel. The purpose of the Disclosure Committee is to assist the Company in complying with its policy of accurate, complete and timely financial disclosure. In connection with the evaluation required by Rule 13a-15(d) or Rule 15d-15(d) under the Exchange Act (the “Rules”), the Company’s management, with the participation of the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, concluded that other than as stated in the immediately preceding sentence, there was no change in the Company’s internal control over financial reporting (as that term is defined in the Rules) that occurred during the quarter ended September 30, 2007 that materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, the Company’s internal control over financial reporting.

Part II. Other Information

 

Item 1. Legal Proceedings

We are subject to routine legal proceedings in the normal course of operating our business, including litigation regarding claims. We are not involved in any legal proceeding which we believe could reasonably be expected to have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations or financial condition. We anticipate that, like other insurers, we will continue to be subject to legal proceedings in the ordinary course of our business.

 

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Item 1a. Risk Factors

The material risks affecting the Company and its performance are discussed in our 2006 Form 10-K under the caption “Risk Factors,” and there have been no material changes from the risk factors disclosed therein.

 

Item 2. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds

None.

 

Item 3. Defaults upon Senior Securities

None.

 

Item 4. Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders

None.

 

Item 5. Other Information

None.

 

Item 6. Exhibits

 

Exhibit
Number
 

Description of Exhibit

31.1   Certification of the Chief Executive Officer of Darwin Professional Underwriters, Inc., pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a) or Rule 15d-14(a) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
31.2   Certification of the Chief Financial Officer of Darwin Professional Underwriters, Inc., pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a) or Rule 15d-14(a) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
32.1   Certification of the Chief Executive Officer of Darwin Professional Underwriters, Inc., pursuant to 18 U.S.C. section 1350, as adopted pursuant to section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002, furnished as permitted by Item 601(b)(32)(ii) of Regulation S-K. This Exhibit 32.1 is not “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and it is not and should not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
32.2   Certification of the Chief Financial Officer of Darwin Professional Underwriters, Inc., pursuant to 18 U.S.C. section 1350, as adopted pursuant to section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002, furnished as permitted by Item 601(b)(32)(ii) of Regulation S-K. This Exhibit 32.1 is not “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and it is not and should not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

 

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SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, Darwin Professional Underwriters, Inc. has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.

 

DARWIN PROFESSIONAL UNDERWRITERS, INC.
(Registrant)
By:  

/s/ John L. Sennott, Jr.

  John L. Sennott, Jr.
  Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
  (Authorized Signatory and Principal Financial and Accounting Officer)

Date: November 6, 2007

 

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