Waste Connections delivered a first quarter that aligned with Wall Street’s expectations on revenue and modestly surpassed profit forecasts, as management’s pricing initiatives and operational discipline offset weather-related volume pressure. CEO Ron Mittelstaedt emphasized that “price-led organic solid waste growth continued, and acquisition activity drove a top-to-bottom beat in the quarter,” noting that core pricing rose 6.9% despite volume headwinds from severe weather. Management also highlighted ongoing improvements in employee retention and safety, which contributed to strong operational execution across the business.
Is now the time to buy WCN? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).
Waste Connections (WCN) Q1 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $2.23 billion vs analyst estimates of $2.22 billion (7.5% year-on-year growth, in line)
- Adjusted EPS: $1.13 vs analyst estimates of $1.08 (4.9% beat)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $712.2 million vs analyst estimates of $706.2 million (32% margin, 0.9% beat)
- Operating Margin: 17.5%, in line with the same quarter last year
- Organic Revenue rose 6.9% year on year, in line with the same quarter last year
- Market Capitalization: $46.7 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions Waste Connections’s Q1 Earnings Call
- Tyler Brown (Raymond James) asked about the impact of regulatory changes to the HSR process on M&A. CEO Ron Mittelstaedt explained that most acquisitions are too small to require HSR filings, so delays are not expected.
- Adam Bubes (Goldman Sachs) questioned whether robust pricing trends would prompt upward guidance revisions. CFO Mary Anne Whitney clarified that Q1 pricing typically peaks due to seasonality and that annual guidance is reviewed at midyear.
- Trevor Romeo (William Blair) sought details about the New Jersey recycling facility acquisition. Mittelstaedt described it as a highly automated, capacity-expanding asset supporting New York City growth.
- Yehuda Solomon (Morgan Stanley) inquired about margin expectations if inflation persists. Whitney said cost inflation is running below price increases, maintaining a healthy price-cost spread.
- Sabahat Khan (RBC Capital Markets) asked how management monitors special waste and construction volumes amid economic uncertainty. Whitney and Mittelstaedt pointed to “lumpiness” in special waste and emphasized dynamic cost management to preserve margins.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
We will track (1) the pace of integration and ramp-up at newly acquired assets like the New Jersey recycling facility, (2) whether pricing discipline continues to offset inflation and volume variability, and (3) execution on M&A, particularly as the company targets a year above average for acquisitions. Additionally, we are monitoring regulatory developments on tariffs, environmental standards, and project permitting that could impact costs and project starts.
Waste Connections currently trades at $180.73, down from $195.32 just before the earnings. Is the company at an inflection point that warrants a buy or sell? See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free).
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